Sport Picks

Germany

2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Arminia Bielefeld

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Greuther Furth play Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Greuther Furth averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Arminia Bielefeld averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Greuther Furth won 3, Arminia Bielefeld won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 20, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Greuther Furth and 1.69 for Arminia Bielefeld. This points to a Greuther Furth double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Greuther Furth

28%

Draws

34%

Arminia Bielefeld

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Greuther Furth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Greuther Furth picked up more points recently compared to Arminia Bielefeld.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Greuther Furth Clean Sheet 13%

Arminia Bielefeld Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Greuther Furth	Arminia Bielefeld
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	9	9
Draws	6	8
Losses	16	12
Goals Scored	1.29	1.72
Goals Conceded	1.48	1.55
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 2. Bundesliga

Greuther Furth vs Arminia Bielefeld

Possession: 50% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Sep 19, 2025 2. Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld vs Greuther Furth

Possession: 40% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

1:3

May 5, 2023 2. Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld vs Greuther Furth

Possession: 44% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Oct 28, 2022 2. Bundesliga

Greuther Furth vs Arminia Bielefeld

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Jan 16, 2022 Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld vs Greuther Furth

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 4 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greuther Furth Compare

Top Goalscorer Hrgota B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Srbeny D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Arminia Bielefeld Compare

Top Goalscorer Knoche R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greuther Furth 37 / 100

Arminia Bielefeld 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Greuther Furth Arminia Bielefeld

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Greuther Furth or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Greuther Furth attacking → ← attacking Arminia Bielefeld

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greuther Furth scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Arminia Bielefeld let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Greuther Furth went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Arminia Bielefeld lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 35

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Schalke	34	21	7	6	50:31	70
2	Elversberg	34	18	8	8	64:39	62
3	Paderborn	34	18	8	8	59:45	62
4	Hannover	34	16	12	6	60:44	60
5	Darmstadt	34	13	13	8	57:45	52
6	Kaiserslautern	34	16	4	14	52:47	52
7	Hertha Berlin	34	14	9	11	47:44	51
8	Nurnberg	34	12	10	12	47:45	46
9	Bochum	34	11	11	12	49:47	44
10	Karlsruher	34	12	8	14	53:64	44
11	Dresden	34	11	8	15	54:53	41
12	Holstein Kiel	34	11	8	15	44:48	41
13	Arminia Bielefeld	34	10	9	15	53:51	39
14	Magdeburg	34	12	3	19	52:58	39
15	Braunschweig	34	10	7	17	36:54	37
16	Greuther Furth	34	10	7	17	49:68	37
17	Dusseldorf	34	11	4	19	33:53	37
18	Preussen Munster	34	6	12	16	38:61	30