Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Greuther Furth vs Elversberg

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Hrgota B.
60'
Sub
Zimmerschied T. In: Conte B.
Out: Zimmerschied T.
60'
Sub
Conde A. In: Schmahl F.
Out: Conde A.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Greuther Furth and Elversberg finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Greuther Furth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Greuther Furth
40%
Draws
29%
Elversberg
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Elversberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Greuther Furth Clean Sheet 11%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greuther Furth Elversberg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.38 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs Elversberg
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Greuther Furth
6:0
Feb 15, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Greuther Furth
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs Elversberg
0:0
Mar 10, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs Elversberg
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greuther Furth Compare

Top Goalscorer Hrgota B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reich L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Elversberg Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greuther Furth 30 / 100
Elversberg 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greuther Furth Elversberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greuther Furth's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Elversberg has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Greuther Furth stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Greuther Furth VS Elversberg
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Greuther Furth

(Home)
18 Jul
Zurich
2 : 3
Greuther Furth
11 Jul
Bamberg
1 : 3
Greuther Furth
08 Jul
Eltersdorf
0 : 3
Greuther Furth
05 Jul
Bayreuth
1 : 0
Greuther Furth
26 May
Greuther Furth
2 : 0
RW Essen
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Elversberg

(Away)
25 Jul
Nijmegen
0 : 1
Elversberg
17 Jul
FC Viktoria Koln
2 : 1
Elversberg
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Elversberg
04 Jul
Giessen
0 : 5
Elversberg
17 May
Elversberg
3 : 0
Preussen Munster
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Schalke34217650:3170
2Elversberg34188864:3962
3Paderborn34188859:4562
4Hannover341612660:4460
5Darmstadt341313857:4552
6Kaiserslautern341641452:4752
7Hertha Berlin341491147:4451
8Nurnberg3412101247:4546
9Bochum3411111249:4744
10Karlsruher341281453:6444
11Dresden341181554:5341
12Holstein Kiel341181544:4841
13Arminia Bielefeld341091553:5139
14Magdeburg341231952:5839
15Braunschweig341071736:5437
16Greuther Furth341071749:6837
17Dusseldorf341141933:5337
18Preussen Munster346121638:6130
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)