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Greuther Furth vs Heidenheim Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Zivzivadze B.
Assist: Costly M.
64'
Sub
Srbeny D. In: Sillah O.
Out: Srbeny D.
65'
Sub
Ademi F. In: Siebatcheu J.
Out: Ademi F.

AI Match Summary

Heidenheim in this 2. Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Heidenheim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Greuther Furth
30%
Draws
47%
Heidenheim
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Heidenheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Heidenheim average 2.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Greuther Furth's 1.55.
  • Greuther Furth are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Greuther Furth Clean Sheet 10%
Heidenheim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greuther Furth Heidenheim
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.55 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs Heidenheim
0:1
Oct 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Heidenheim vs Greuther Furth
0:1
Oct 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Heidenheim vs Greuther Furth
0:1
Apr 28, 2023 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs Heidenheim
0:2
Oct 23, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Greuther Furth
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greuther Furth Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Heidenheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Zivzivadze B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greuther Furth 38 / 100
Heidenheim 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greuther Furth Heidenheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Greuther Furth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Heidenheim conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Greuther Furth found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Greuther Furth remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Greuther Furth VS Heidenheim
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Greuther Furth

(Home)
18 Sept
Greuther Furth
1 : 1
Magdeburg
12 Sept
Bochum
1 : 1
Greuther Furth
06 Sept
Greuther Furth
0 : 1
Heidenheim
29 Aug
Energie Cottbus
3 : 4
Greuther Furth
23 Aug
Greuther Furth
1 : 2
Bochum
Page 1 of 6

Heidenheim

(Away)
25 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 0
Heidenheim
20 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
Heidenheim
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0
Holstein Kiel
06 Sept
Greuther Furth
0 : 1
Heidenheim
29 Aug
Heidenheim
5 : 3
Dresden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 6 6 0 0 17:7 18
2 Nurnberg 6 5 1 0 16:6 16
3 Heidenheim 6 4 1 1 14:12 13
4 Wolfsburg 6 3 2 1 15:8 11
5 Kaiserslautern 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
6 Magdeburg 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
7 Energie Cottbus 6 2 2 2 14:13 8
8 St. Pauli 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
9 Bochum 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
10 Hannover 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 VfL Osnabruck 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Greuther Furth 6 1 3 2 9:11 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
14 Karlsruher 6 1 2 3 6:12 5
15 Braunschweig 6 1 1 4 12:13 4
16 Holstein Kiel 6 0 4 2 7:10 4
17 Dresden 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
18 Darmstadt 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)