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Greuther Furth vs Holstein Kiel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Davidsen K.
46'
Sub
Therkelsen J. In: de Regt G.
Out: Therkelsen J.
46'
Sub
Parduzi L. In: Tolkin J.
Out: Parduzi L.

AI Match Summary

Greuther Furth in this 2. Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Greuther Furth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Greuther Furth
15%
Draws
46%
Holstein Kiel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holstein Kiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Holstein Kiel haven't matched Greuther Furth's recent run of results.
  • Holstein Kiel are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Greuther Furth Clean Sheet 15%
Holstein Kiel Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greuther Furth Holstein Kiel
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs Holstein Kiel
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs Greuther Furth
1:2
Aug 24, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs Holstein Kiel
0:2
Jan 28, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs Holstein Kiel
2:1
Aug 5, 2023 2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs Greuther Furth
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greuther Furth Compare

Top Goalscorer Keller A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Holstein Kiel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greuther Furth 15 / 100
Holstein Kiel 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greuther Furth Holstein Kiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holstein Kiel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greuther Furth's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Holstein Kiel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Greuther Furth remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Greuther Furth VS Holstein Kiel
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Greuther Furth

(Home)
01 Nov
Greuther Furth
1 : 0
Holstein Kiel
25 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
3 : 0
Greuther Furth
17 Oct
Greuther Furth
2 : 0
Braunschweig
11 Oct
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1
Greuther Furth
01 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
5 : 0
Greuther Furth
Page 1 of 7

Holstein Kiel

(Away)
01 Nov
Greuther Furth
1 : 0
Holstein Kiel
28 Oct
Holstein Kiel
2 : 1
Hoffenheim
25 Oct
Holstein Kiel
3 : 0
Dresden
16 Oct
Holstein Kiel
0 : 0
Hertha Berlin
09 Oct
Braunschweig
1 : 0
Holstein Kiel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 10 9 1 0 23:8 28
2 Nurnberg 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
3 Wolfsburg 10 5 4 1 25:14 19
4 Kaiserslautern 10 5 3 2 9:7 18
5 Magdeburg 10 5 2 3 21:13 17
6 Heidenheim 10 4 3 3 17:18 15
7 Arminia Bielefeld 10 4 2 4 16:15 14
8 St. Pauli 10 2 6 2 12:12 12
9 Greuther Furth 10 3 3 4 13:16 12
10 VfL Osnabruck 10 3 2 5 14:17 11
11 Bochum 10 3 2 5 8:11 11
12 Hannover 10 3 2 5 10:16 11
13 Karlsruher 10 3 2 5 13:21 11
14 Energie Cottbus 10 2 4 4 18:20 10
15 Braunschweig 10 3 1 6 16:18 10
16 Darmstadt 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
17 Holstein Kiel 10 1 5 4 10:12 8
18 Dresden 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)