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Grevenmacher vs Differdange

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2017/2018 Op Flohr Stadion, Grevenmacher
Grevenmacher Logo

Grevenmacher

0 - 1
FT
Differdange Logo

Differdange

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Differdange advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Grevenmacher
15%
Draws
61%
Differdange
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Differdange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Grevenmacher haven't matched Differdange's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Differdange's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Differdange arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Differdange, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Differdange have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Grevenmacher Clean Sheet 10%
Differdange Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grevenmacher Differdange
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 11 24
Draws 1 5
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 1.2 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2022 Luxembourg Cup
Grevenmacher vs Differdange
0:2
Apr 18, 2018 Luxembourg Cup
Grevenmacher vs Differdange
0:1
Nov 20, 2016 Luxembourg Cup
Grevenmacher vs Differdange
0:1
Apr 24, 2016 BGL Ligue
Grevenmacher vs Differdange
0:5
Oct 25, 2015 BGL Ligue
Differdange vs Grevenmacher
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grevenmacher 10 / 100
Differdange 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grevenmacher Differdange

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Differdange Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Grevenmacher's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Differdange's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 34 matches.

Grevenmacher has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grevenmacher VS Differdange
3 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Grevenmacher

(Home)
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
3 : 2
FC Residence Walferdange
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
0 : 3
UNA Strassen
28 Oct
Grevenmacher
2 : 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler
01 Oct
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 2
Grevenmacher
30 Oct
Grevenmacher
0 : 2
Differdange
Page 1 of 6

Differdange

(Away)
20 Sept
Jeunesse Useldange
1 : 5
Differdange
16 Sept
Differdange
3 : 0
Hesperange
12 Sept
Differdange
1 : 0
Ettelbruck
06 Sept
Differdange
4 : 1
Kaerjeng
30 Aug
Hostert
0 : 2
Differdange
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Wiltz 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
US Moutfort/Medingen 0
Ettelbruck 10
Victoria Rosport 1
AS Luxembourg/Porto 0
US Reisdorf 0
Rumelange 8
Kaerjeng 4
Echternach 1
Lorentzweiler 0
US Sandweiler 4
FC Mamer 2
Blo Weiss Itzig 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Esch 4
Cebra 0
US Berdorf Consdorf 0
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Jeunesse Canach 5
FC Kopstal 33 0
The Belval Belvaux 0
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 2
Luxembourg City 2
Steinfort 0
FC Ehlerange 1
Koeppchen 2
Jeunesse Useldange 5
Pratzerthal/Redange 3
Mertzig 0
Hostert 5
Racing Luxembourg 8
CS Sanem 0
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 3
UNA Strassen 6
Oberkorn 1
Racing Troisvierges 1
Jeunesse Esch 16
Progres Niedercorn 3
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 0
Dudelange 13
Fola 5
AS Wincrange 1
Vinesca Ehnen 0
Union Titus Petange 7
Grevenmacher 4
Bettembourg 2
Alliance Aischdall 0
Jeunesse Junglinster 5
Hesperange 6
Diekirch 1
Union Remich/Bous 1
Mondorf 2
Erpeldange 5
US Feulen 1
FC Orania Vianden 2
Union Tetange 4
FF Norden 2
AS Colmar-Berg 1
Lintgen 0
Differdange 3
1/16-finals
Wiltz 3
Ettelbruck 1
Victoria Rosport 0
Rumelange 3
Kaerjeng 1
US Sandweiler 0
FC Mamer 1
FC Rodange 91 2
Esch 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 3
Luxembourg City 2
Koeppchen 0
Jeunesse Useldange 0
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
UNA Strassen 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Progres Niedercorn 4
Dudelange 3
Fola 2
Union Titus Petange 3
Grevenmacher 2
Jeunesse Junglinster 1
Hesperange 0
Mondorf 1
Erpeldange 2
Union Tetange 1
FF Norden 0
Differdange 9
1/8-finals
Wiltz 2
Rumelange 0
Kaerjeng 1
FC Rodange 91 5
Esch 1
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Luxembourg City 0
Hostert 5
Racing Luxembourg 3
Jeunesse Esch 1
Progres Niedercorn 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Grevenmacher 1
Mondorf 0
Erpeldange 0
Differdange 2
Quarter-finals
Wiltz 3
FC Rodange 91 2
Esch 1
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 2
Union Titus Petange 1
Grevenmacher 0
Differdange 1
Semi-finals
Wiltz 1
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 1
Differdange 0
Final
Hostert 0
Racing Luxembourg 1