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Grevenmacher vs Differdange Prediction & H2H Stats

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2022/2023 Op Flohr Stadion, Grevenmacher
Grevenmacher Logo

Grevenmacher

0 - 2
FT
Differdange Logo

Differdange

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Differdange advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Grevenmacher
15%
Draws
61%
Differdange
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Differdange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Grevenmacher haven't matched Differdange's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Differdange's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Differdange arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Differdange, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Differdange have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Grevenmacher Clean Sheet 12%
Differdange Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grevenmacher Differdange
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 23
Draws 1 5
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 1.2 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2022 Luxembourg Cup
Grevenmacher vs Differdange
0:2
Apr 18, 2018 Luxembourg Cup
Grevenmacher vs Differdange
0:1
Nov 20, 2016 Luxembourg Cup
Grevenmacher vs Differdange
0:1
Apr 24, 2016 BGL Ligue
Grevenmacher vs Differdange
0:5
Oct 25, 2015 BGL Ligue
Differdange vs Grevenmacher
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grevenmacher 10 / 100
Differdange 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grevenmacher Differdange

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Differdange Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Grevenmacher's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Differdange has conceded goals in 48% of their last 33 outings.

Grevenmacher went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grevenmacher VS Differdange
3 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Grevenmacher

(Home)
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
3 : 2
FC Residence Walferdange
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
0 : 3
UNA Strassen
28 Oct
Grevenmacher
2 : 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler
01 Oct
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 2
Grevenmacher
30 Oct
Grevenmacher
0 : 2
Differdange
Page 1 of 6

Differdange

(Away)
20 Sept
Jeunesse Useldange
1 : 5
Differdange
16 Sept
Differdange
3 : 0
Hesperange
12 Sept
Differdange
1 : 0
Ettelbruck
06 Sept
Differdange
4 : 1
Kaerjeng
30 Aug
Hostert
0 : 2
Differdange
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Red Star Merl/Belair 0
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
Diekirch 1
Luxembourg City 4
Syra Mensdorf 2
FC Rodange 91 1
CS Sanem 1
FC Marisca Mersch 3
Les Ardoisiers Perle 1
Jeunesse Esch 14
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 0
Wiltz 5
FC Residence Walferdange 1
FC Mamer 2
Koeppchen 1
Hostert 2
Echternach 3
Bissen 2
Mertzig 0
Mondorf 4
Cebra 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Sporting Bertrange 1
UNA Strassen 8
US Feulen 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Pratzerthal/Redange 0
Berdenia Berbourg 5
Avenir Beggen 2
Jeunesse Canach 0
FC 47 Bastendorf 0
Racing Luxembourg 4
FF Norden 1
Grevenmacher 4
Racing Troisvierges 0
Differdange 12
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Harlange/Tarchamps 0
Hesperange 9
Clemency 1
Rumelange 4
US Sandweiler 2
Jeunesse Schieren 3
AS Wincrange 0
Progres Niedercorn 6
AS Luxembourg/Porto 0
Kaerjeng 5
Union Remich/Bous 1
Ettelbruck 3
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Union Titus Petange 2
Esch 1
Bettembourg 7
FC Munsbach 1
Dudelange 5
Steinfort 0
Mondercange 8
Lorentzweiler 0
Victoria Rosport 3
FC Schengen 3
Schifflange 2
Kehlen 0
Fola 6
1/16-finals
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
Luxembourg City 4
Syra Mensdorf 0
FC Marisca Mersch 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Wiltz 1
FC Mamer 2
Hostert 5
Echternach 0
Mondorf 7
Cebra 1
UNA Strassen 6
US Feulen 1
Berdenia Berbourg 2
Avenir Beggen 0
Racing Luxembourg 3
Grevenmacher 0
Differdange 2
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 1
Hesperange 5
Rumelange 3
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Progres Niedercorn 1
Kaerjeng 0
Ettelbruck 2
Union Titus Petange 3
Bettembourg 1
Dudelange 4
Mondercange 0
Victoria Rosport 2
FC Schengen 1
Fola 3
1/8-finals
Luxembourg City 0
FC Marisca Mersch 6
Wiltz 4
Hostert 1
Mondorf 2
UNA Strassen 1
Berdenia Berbourg 0
Racing Luxembourg 4
Differdange 1
Hesperange 0
Rumelange 1
Progres Niedercorn 3
Union Titus Petange 2
Dudelange 3
Victoria Rosport 2
Fola 0
Quarter-finals
FC Marisca Mersch 3
Wiltz 1
Mondorf 1
Racing Luxembourg 0
Differdange 3
Progres Niedercorn 2
Dudelange 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Semi-finals
FC Marisca Mersch 2
Mondorf 1
Differdange 1
Victoria Rosport 0
Final
FC Marisca Mersch 2
Differdange 4