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Grevenmacher vs Union Luxembourg

Luxembourg Luxembourg

National Division 2004/2005 Op Flohr Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grevenmacher play Union Luxembourg in the National Division 2004/2005. It looks like a close match. Recently, Grevenmacher averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. Union Luxembourg averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Grevenmacher won 2, Union Luxembourg won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 21, 2005 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Grevenmacher and 1.44 for Union Luxembourg. This points to a Grevenmacher double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Grevenmacher
16%
Draws
39%
Union Luxembourg
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Grevenmacher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Grevenmacher picked up more points recently compared to Union Luxembourg.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Grevenmacher Clean Sheet 16%
Union Luxembourg Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grevenmacher Union Luxembourg
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 2 7
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 1.21 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2005 BGL Ligue
Union Luxembourg vs Grevenmacher
2:2
May 3, 2005 BGL Ligue
Grevenmacher vs Union Luxembourg
2:3
Mar 19, 2005 BGL Ligue
Grevenmacher vs Union Luxembourg
1:2
Oct 2, 2004 BGL Ligue
Union Luxembourg vs Grevenmacher
0:3
Mar 26, 2004 BGL Ligue
Grevenmacher vs Union Luxembourg
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grevenmacher 44 / 100
Union Luxembourg 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grevenmacher Union Luxembourg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Grevenmacher or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Grevenmacher attacking → ← attacking Union Luxembourg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grevenmacher scored in 59% of their last 34 games.

Union Luxembourg let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Grevenmacher went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Union Luxembourg lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 28
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00