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Grijo vs AD Lousada Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2013/2014
Sun, Sep 1, 2013
3 - 2
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grijo in this Taça de Portugal 2013/2014 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Grijo
15%
Draws
49%
AD Lousada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Lousada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Lousada haven't matched Grijo's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Grijo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Grijo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Grijo Clean Sheet 16%
AD Lousada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grijo AD Lousada
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2013 Taça de Portugal
Grijo vs AD Lousada
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grijo 31 / 100
AD Lousada 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grijo AD Lousada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Lousada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Grijo scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: AD Lousada conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: AD Lousada registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grijo VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Grijo

(Home)
21 Aug
Rebordosa
3 : 1
Grijo
24 May
SC Lusitania
2 : 1
Grijo
11 May
Grijo
1 : 2
Lusitano FCV
04 May
Bustelo
0 : 2
Grijo
27 Apr
Grijo
0 : 1
Estarreja
Page 1 of 7

AD Lousada

(Away)
01 Sept
Grijo
3 : 2
AD Lousada
29 Apr
AD Lousada
0 : 3
AD Fafe
22 Apr
CD Ribeira Brava
1 : 2
AD Lousada
15 Apr
AD Lousada
1 : 1
Ribeirao
07 Apr
Maritimo B
1 : 0
AD Lousada
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
FC Porto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pedras Salgadas -
TBD -
TBD -
Trofense -
Fatima 2
Castro Daire 0
TBD -
Sporting Ideal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Camacha 5
Ansiao 0
Vila Cortez 2
Castrense 4
Riachense -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilaverdense FC -
Santa Eulalia 2
AD Portomosense 1
Almodovar 0
Ninense 1
SC Mirandela -
TBD -
TBD -
Atletico CP -
Leixoes -
TBD -
Sampedrense 0
Sacavenense 3
Bustelo -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Felgueiras -
Santa Clara -
TBD -
Coimbroes 1
Pinhalnovense 2
GD Tourizense 2
FC Lixa 1
TBD -
Covilha -
Famalicao -
TBD -
TBD -
Eirense -
SC Praiense -
TBD -
TBD -
Louletano -
Moreirense -
TBD -
Vila Flor 0
Merelinense 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
Penafiel -
TBD -
Amiense 0
Tirsense 4
Fabril do Barreiro 2
Oliv. Bairro 0
SC Salgueiros 1
Operario 2
Sao Joao de Ver 3
Ferreiras 2
TBD -
Lusitano VRSA -
Juv. Evora -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 0
Ribeirao 6
AD Oliveirense 1
Vila Mea 0
FC Pampilhosa 0
Vizela 2
Carapinheirense -
TBD -
TBD -
GS Loures -
Freamunde 3
Amarante FC 1
TBD -
Desportivo de Ronfe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marinhense -
TBD -
TBD -
Caldas SC -
Portimonense -
TBD -
1º Dezembro 0
Boavista 1
Cerveira -
TBD -
TBD -
Cova De Piedade -
Sporting CP -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Uniao Montemor -
TBD -
TBD -
Alba -
Cinfaes -
TBD -
Santiago FC 0
Estarreja 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Braga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GD Sourense -
TBD -
SC Vianense 1
Gafetense 2
Lusitano FCV -
TBD -
Oliveira Hospital 0
C.F. Benfica 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olhanense -
Chaves -
TBD -
GD Braganca 0
AA Avanca 1
U. Madeira -
TBD -
Carregado 0
SB Castelo Branco 1
Varzim 1
Atletico SC 0
Aguias do Moradal 0
SC Espinho 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AD Limianos -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveirense -
Leiria 2
Torreense 1
Naval 0
Marinhas 3
CD Torres Novas 2
Pero Pinheiro 1
TBD -
Tondela -
AD Fafe -
TBD -
Torre De Moncorvo 1
Perafita 2
Vitoria Sernache -
TBD -
TBD -
Piense -
Aljustrelense 3
Casa Pia 2
TBD -
Igreja Nova -
Gondomar -
TBD -
TBD -
Aves -
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BSAD -
Oriental 7
Uniao Nogueirense 0
Manteigas 2
Aliados Lordelo 3
Nogueirense 3
Vieira 0
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Feirense -
TBD -
Moura AC 1
Sousense 2
Lusitania FC 1
SC Lourinhanense 0
TBD -
SC Farense -
Mafra 2
Sintrense 1
TBD -
Oriolenses -
Grijo 3
AD Lousada 2
TBD -
Beira Mar -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Barreirense 2
O Elvas CAD 1
Atalaia do Campo 0
Alcanenense 7
Nacional -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Cesarense 4
Valenciano 3
Vila Pouca 0
Santa Maria FC 1
Sertanense 1
Anadia 0
CDR Quarteirense 1
Amora 2
Maria de Fonte 1
GD Joane 0
TBD -
Grandolense -
Esperanca de Lagos -
TBD -
TBD -
Pedras Rubras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
1/64-finals
FC Porto -
TBD -
Pedras Salgadas 0
Trofense 3
Fatima 2
Sporting Ideal 1
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Camacha 3
Castrense 2
Riachense 0
Vilaverdense FC 1
Santa Eulalia 2
Ninense 1
SC Mirandela 0
Atletico CP 1
Leixoes 2
Sacavenense 0
Bustelo 0
FC Felgueiras 2
Santa Clara 1
Pinhalnovense 0
GD Tourizense 1
Covilha 3
Famalicao 3
Eirense 0
SC Praiense 0
Louletano 2
Moreirense 9
Merelinense 0
TBD -
Estoril -
Penafiel 2
Tirsense 1
Fabril do Barreiro 0
Operario 2
Sao Joao de Ver 5
Lusitano VRSA 0
Juv. Evora 0
Ribeirao 4
AD Oliveirense 1
Vizela 0
Carapinheirense 0
GS Loures 5
Freamunde 4
Desportivo de Ronfe 0
TBD -
Maritimo -
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
Marinhense 0
Caldas SC 6
Portimonense 2
Boavista 1
Cerveira 1
Cova De Piedade 3
Sporting CP -
TBD -
Uniao Montemor 1
Alba 2
Cinfaes 5
Estarreja 1
TBD -
Benfica -
Braga -
TBD -
GD Sourense 1
Gafetense 2
Lusitano FCV 2
C.F. Benfica 1
TBD -
Olhanense -
Chaves 8
AA Avanca 0
U. Madeira 1
SB Castelo Branco 2
Varzim 3
SC Espinho 0
TBD -
Arouca -
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
AD Limianos 1
Oliveirense 2
Leiria 3
Marinhas 1
CD Torres Novas 1
Tondela 5
AD Fafe 2
Perafita 1
Vitoria Sernache 2
Piense 3
Aljustrelense 3
Igreja Nova 1
Gondomar 1
Aves 2
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
BSAD -
Oriental 1
Aliados Lordelo 0
Nogueirense 1
Academico Viseu 2
Feirense 2
Sousense 1
Lusitania FC 2
SC Farense 3
Mafra 3
Oriolenses 0
Grijo 1
Beira Mar 4
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
FC Barreirense 1
Alcanenense 3
Nacional -
TBD -
FC Cesarense 1
Santa Maria FC 4
Sertanense 4
Amora 2
Maria de Fonte 2
Grandolense 3
Esperanca de Lagos 1
Pedras Rubras 0
TBD -
Rio Ave -
1/32-finals
FC Porto 1
Trofense 0
Fatima 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Camacha 2
Vilaverdense FC 1
Santa Eulalia 0
Atletico CP 1
Leixoes 1
FC Felgueiras 0
Santa Clara 1
Covilha 2
Famalicao 2
Louletano 0
Moreirense 0
Estoril 2
Penafiel 4
Operario 2
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Ribeirao 2
AD Oliveirense 3
GS Loures 0
Freamunde 1
Maritimo 3
Gil Vicente 5
Caldas SC 0
Portimonense 0
Cova De Piedade 1
Sporting CP 8
Alba 1
Cinfaes 0
Benfica 1
Braga 2
Gafetense 0
Lusitano FCV 1
Olhanense 2
Chaves 2
SB Castelo Branco 1
Varzim 1
Arouca 4
Pacos Ferreira 3
Oliveirense 1
Leiria 1
Tondela 3
AD Fafe 6
Piense 0
Aljustrelense 0
Aves 1
Academica 3
BSAD 2
Oriental 1
Academico Viseu 2
Feirense 3
SC Farense 2
Mafra 0
Beira Mar 1
Vitoria Setubal 3
Alcanenense 1
Nacional 0
Santa Maria FC 1
Sertanense 2
Grandolense 0
Esperanca de Lagos 0
Rio Ave 3
1/16-finals
FC Porto 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
Camacha 1
Atletico CP 2
Leixoes 2
Covilha 1
Famalicao 0
Estoril 1
Penafiel 2
Ribeirao 0
AD Oliveirense 0
Maritimo 3
Gil Vicente 1
Cova De Piedade 0
Sporting CP 3
Benfica 4
Braga 3
Olhanense 1
Chaves 0
Arouca 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Tondela 0
AD Fafe 1
Aves 2
Academica 2
Academico Viseu 1
Feirense 2
Beira Mar 3
Vitoria Setubal 2
Santa Maria FC 1
Sertanense 2
Rio Ave 4
1/8-finals
FC Porto 6
Atletico CP 0
Leixoes 1
Estoril 5
Penafiel 3
Maritimo 2
Gil Vicente 0
Benfica 5
Braga 2
Arouca 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
Aves 2
Academica 1
Beira Mar 0
Vitoria Setubal 0
Rio Ave 1
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 2
Estoril 1
Penafiel 0
Benfica 1
Braga 3
Aves 1
Academica 0
Rio Ave 1
Semi-finals
FC Porto 2
Benfica 3
Braga 0
Rio Ave 2
Final
Benfica 1
Rio Ave 0