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Grimma vs Heiligenstadt

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026
Grimma Logo

Grimma

4 - 0
FT
Heiligenstadt Logo

Heiligenstadt

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Grimma in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grimma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Grimma
15%
Draws
26%
Heiligenstadt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grimma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grimma lately — more wins on the board than Heiligenstadt.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Grimma taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Grimma Clean Sheet 14%
Heiligenstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grimma Heiligenstadt
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.57 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.43 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Grimma vs Heiligenstadt
4:0
Sep 27, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Heiligenstadt vs Grimma
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grimma 57 / 100
Heiligenstadt 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grimma Heiligenstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grimma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heiligenstadt has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Grimma scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Grimma stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grimma VS Heiligenstadt
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grimma

(Home)
30 May
Grimma
3 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
17 May
Plauen
0 : 1
Grimma
09 May
Grimma
2 : 4
Krieschow
03 May
Sandersdorf
1 : 0
Grimma
26 Apr
Grimma
2 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
Page 1 of 6

Heiligenstadt

(Away)
30 May
Heiligenstadt
4 : 3
Einheit Wernigerode
17 May
Halle
2 : 2
Heiligenstadt
10 May
Glauchau
1 : 0
Heiligenstadt
03 May
Heiligenstadt
2 : 3
Bautzen
26 Apr
Stendal
2 : 0
Heiligenstadt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rsv Eintracht 30 20 8 2 61:29 68
2 Freital 30 19 2 9 57:28 59
3 Plauen 30 18 5 7 52:28 59
4 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 51:37 51
5 Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 49:44 48
6 Halle 30 13 7 10 68:45 46
7 Bautzen 30 12 9 9 57:46 45
8 Krieschow 30 12 7 11 48:42 43
9 Glauchau 30 11 7 12 46:52 40
10 Sandersdorf 30 10 9 11 40:41 39
11 Einheit Wernigerode 30 9 6 15 41:58 33
12 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 9 6 15 39:60 33
13 Stendal 30 8 6 16 41:59 30
14 Grimma 30 8 4 18 47:73 28
15 Bischofswerdaer 30 6 7 17 36:61 25
16 Heiligenstadt 30 4 8 18 33:63 20
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