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Grimsby U18 vs Millwall U18

England England

FA Youth Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Maciocia F.
67' Event
Baker F.
75' Event
Heywood K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Millwall U18 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Grimsby U18
25%
Draws
35%
Millwall U18
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Grimsby U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Millwall U18 come out ahead of Grimsby U18 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Millwall U18 a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Millwall U18 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Millwall U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 84.2%
Grimsby U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Millwall U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grimsby U18 Millwall U18
Matches Played 2 9
Wins 0 5
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 4
Goals Scored 2 2.33
Goals Conceded 4.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2024 FA Youth Cup
Grimsby U18 vs Millwall U18
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grimsby U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Collins J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Millwall U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Maciocia F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baker F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grimsby U18 22 / 100
Millwall U18 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grimsby U18 Millwall U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Millwall U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grimsby U18 found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (2 games).

Millwall U18 let in goals in 89% of their last 9 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Millwall U18's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Grimsby U18 VS Millwall U18
2 Goals Scored 2.5
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Grimsby U18

(Home)
20 Jan
Grimsby U18
3 : 5
Tottenham U18
24 Jan
Grimsby U18
1 : 4
Millwall U18

Millwall U18

(Away)
16 Jan
Manchester City U18
5 : 1
Millwall U18
04 Apr
Leeds U18
4 : 3
Millwall U18
21 Feb
Millwall U18
2 : 1
Chelsea U18
02 Feb
Coventry U18
0 : 3
Millwall U18
24 Jan
Grimsby U18
1 : 4
Millwall U18
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
West Ham U18 0
Manchester City U18 2
Sheffield Wed U18 0
Reading U18 4
Burton U18 1
Tottenham U18 3
Newcastle Utd U18 0
Bournemouth U18 5
Bristol City U18 1
Charlton U18 0
QPR U18 0
Burnley U18 2
Gillingham U18 0
Sunderland U18 3
Swindon U18 2
Manchester United U18 0
Sheffield Utd U18 1
AFC Wimbledon U18 0
Brighton U18 0
Leeds U18 4
Liverpool U18 7
Arsenal U18 1
Swansea U18 0
Fulham U18 5
Coventry U18 4
Barnsley U18 2
Grimsby U18 1
Millwall U18 4
Hull U18 0
Crystal Palace U18 5
Everton U18 0
Chelsea U18 2
1/8-finals
Manchester City U18 2
Reading U18 1
Tottenham U18 6
Bournemouth U18 2
Bristol City U18 3
Burnley U18 0
Sunderland U18 1
Swindon U18 2
Sheffield Utd U18 1
Leeds U18 2
Liverpool U18 3
Fulham U18 0
Coventry U18 0
Millwall U18 3
Crystal Palace U18 1
Chelsea U18 2
Quarter-finals
Manchester City U18 2
Tottenham U18 1
Bristol City U18 1
Swindon U18 0
Leeds U18 3
Liverpool U18 1
Millwall U18 2
Chelsea U18 1
Semi-finals
Manchester City U18 1
Bristol City U18 0
Leeds U18 4
Millwall U18 3
Final
Manchester City U18 4
Leeds U18 0