Sport Picks
Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers
England
League Two Blundell Park, Cleethorpes 
Match Events
10'
10'
Purrington B.
22'
22'
Green K.
Assist: Cook A.
26'
26'
Sub
Harbottle R. In: Kelly C.
Out: Harbottle R.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Grimsby and Bristol Rovers finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grimsby.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bristol Rovers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Grimsby haven't matched Bristol Rovers's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Grimsby's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Bristol Rovers have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 16%
Bristol Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grimsby | Bristol Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 17 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 League Two
Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers
2:0
Feb 21, 2026 League Two
Bristol Rovers vs Grimsby
3:1
Aug 30, 2025 League Two
Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers
0:1
May 17, 2015 National League
Bristol Rovers vs Grimsby
2:1
Feb 14, 2015 National League
Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grimsby Compare
Top Goalscorer Green K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Turi G. D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Bristol Rovers Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grimsby 41 / 100
Bristol Rovers 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grimsby Bristol Rovers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Grimsby scored in 85% of their last 33 games.
Grimsby has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Bristol Rovers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Grimsby VS Bristol Rovers
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Grimsby
(Home) 12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Bristol Rovers
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2 Grimsby
01 Sept
Accrington
2 : 2 Grimsby
29 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 2 Fleetwood Town
22 Aug
Walsall
0 : 0 Grimsby
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Bristol Rovers
29 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 2 Fleetwood Town
15 Aug
Grimsby
1 : 0 Exeter
08 Aug
Grimsby
1 : 3 Blackpool
04 Aug
Grimsby
3 : 2 Grimsby Borough
Page 1 of 4
Bristol Rovers
(Away) 12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Bristol Rovers
05 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 Rotherham
01 Sept
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0 Colchester
29 Aug
Crawley Town
0 : 2 Bristol Rovers
25 Aug
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3 Chelsea U21
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Bristol Rovers
29 Aug
Crawley Town
0 : 2 Bristol Rovers
15 Aug
York City
3 : 2 Bristol Rovers
21 Jul
Forest Green
2 : 2 Bristol Rovers
11 Jul
Salisbury
2 : 3 Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 | York City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 19 | Newport | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 21 | Accrington | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
