Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Cook A.
Assist: Rodgers H.
49'
49'
Green K.
Assist: Cook A.
58'
58'
Cook A.
Assist: Burns D.
AI Match Summary
Grimsby in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grimsby.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Grimsby
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Grimsby lately — more wins on the board than Crewe.
- Win probability leans Grimsby's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 20%
Crewe Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grimsby | Crewe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 League Two
Grimsby vs Crewe
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 League Two
Crewe vs Grimsby
3:2
Apr 1, 2025 League Two
Crewe vs Grimsby
2:0
Dec 14, 2024 League Two
Grimsby vs Crewe
0:2
Apr 13, 2024 League Two
Crewe vs Grimsby
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grimsby Compare
Top Goalscorer Cook A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Green K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Crewe Compare
Top Goalscorer Demetriou M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grimsby 85 / 100
Crewe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grimsby Crewe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Grimsby scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Grimsby remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Crewe let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Grimsby VS Crewe
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Grimsby
(Home) 04 Aug
Grimsby
3 : 2 Grimsby Borough
01 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 0 Wigan
29 Jul
Boston United
0 : 0 Grimsby
28 Jul
Grimsby
5 : 1 Lincoln City
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3 Grimsby
Page 1 of 6
04 Aug
Grimsby
3 : 2 Grimsby Borough
01 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 0 Wigan
28 Jul
Grimsby
5 : 1 Lincoln City
10 May
Grimsby
1 : 2 Salford
25 Apr
Grimsby
4 : 0 Swindon
Page 1 of 4
Crewe
(Away) 01 Aug
Chester
0 : 0 Crewe
25 Jul
Crewe
1 : 2 Birmingham
21 Jul
Telford
0 : 3 Crewe
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 1 Stoke City
11 Jul
Witton Albion
2 : 3 Crewe
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Chester
0 : 0 Crewe
21 Jul
Telford
0 : 3 Crewe
11 Jul
Witton Albion
2 : 3 Crewe
25 Apr
Chesterfield
2 : 0 Crewe
11 Apr
Grimsby
3 : 2 Crewe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
