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Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

League Two Blundell Park, Cleethorpes
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Davies W.
Assist: Evans C.
25'
Rodgers H.
28'
Cannon A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Grimsby
20%
Draws
29%
Fleetwood Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grimsby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Grimsby have won more games recently than Fleetwood Town.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Grimsby taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 17%
Fleetwood Town Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grimsby Fleetwood Town
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.86 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 League Two
Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town
2:2
Mar 17, 2026 League Two
Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town
1:0
Jan 1, 2026 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby
0:1
Feb 22, 2025 League Two
Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grimsby Compare

Top Goalscorer Doyle C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cook A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Fleetwood Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Davies W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Potter F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grimsby 66 / 100
Fleetwood Town 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grimsby Fleetwood Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grimsby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grimsby scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Fleetwood Town conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Grimsby remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grimsby VS Fleetwood Town
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grimsby

(Home)
26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1
Grimsby
22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1
Grimsby
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0
Crawley Town
12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0
Bristol Rovers
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2
Grimsby
Page 1 of 6

Fleetwood Town

(Away)
26 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2
Rochdale
22 Sept
Oldham
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
19 Sept
Barnet
3 : 1
Fleetwood Town
16 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0
Sheffield Utd
12 Sept
Newport
1 : 1
Fleetwood Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
2 Cheltenham 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
3 Bristol Rovers 8 5 0 3 13:11 15
4 York City 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
5 Walsall 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Grimsby 8 3 4 1 12:8 13
7 Salford 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
8 Gillingham 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
9 Crewe 8 2 6 0 8:6 12
10 Tranmere 8 2 5 1 10:8 11
11 Chesterfield 8 3 2 3 11:10 11
12 Swindon 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
13 Rotherham 8 2 4 2 11:11 10
14 Fleetwood Town 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
15 Colchester 8 2 4 2 10:12 10
16 Rochdale 8 3 1 4 9:11 10
17 Newport 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
18 Shrewsbury 8 2 2 4 7:13 8
19 Accrington 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
20 Oldham 8 2 1 5 9:13 7
21 Exeter 8 1 3 4 4:6 6
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)