Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Kabia J.
(Penalty)
22'
22'
Kacurri M.
Assist: Staunton R.
43'
43'
Kabia J.
Assist: Staunton R.
AI Match Summary
Grimsby in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grimsby.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grimsby
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Grimsby have won more games recently than Swindon.
- Win probability leans Grimsby's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 19%
Swindon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grimsby | Swindon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 League Two
Grimsby vs Swindon
4:0
Nov 22, 2025 League Two
Swindon vs Grimsby
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 League Two
Grimsby vs Swindon
0:4
Dec 21, 2024 League Two
Swindon vs Grimsby
3:1
Apr 20, 2024 League Two
Grimsby vs Swindon
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grimsby Compare
Top Goalscorer Kabia J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kacurri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Swindon Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grimsby 58 / 100
Swindon 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grimsby Swindon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Grimsby found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Swindon has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Grimsby stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Grimsby VS Swindon
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Grimsby
(Home) 08 Aug
Grimsby
1 : 3 Blackpool
04 Aug
Grimsby
3 : 2 Grimsby Borough
01 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 0 Wigan
29 Jul
Boston United
0 : 0 Grimsby
28 Jul
Grimsby
5 : 1 Lincoln City
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Grimsby
1 : 3 Blackpool
04 Aug
Grimsby
3 : 2 Grimsby Borough
01 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 0 Wigan
28 Jul
Grimsby
5 : 1 Lincoln City
10 May
Grimsby
1 : 2 Salford
Page 1 of 3
Swindon
(Away) 08 Aug
Cardiff
3 : 2 Swindon
01 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 4 Swindon
28 Jul
Swindon
2 : 1 Leyton Orient
25 Jul
Swindon
1 : 3 Bristol City
18 Jul
Crystal Palace
5 : 1 Swindon
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Cardiff
3 : 2 Swindon
01 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 4 Swindon
18 Jul
Crystal Palace
5 : 1 Swindon
25 Apr
Grimsby
4 : 0 Swindon
10 Apr
Colchester
3 : 0 Swindon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
