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Grimsby vs York City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Blundell Park, Cleethorpes
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Cook A.
Assist: McJannet C.
18' Event
Hunt A.
28' Event
Hunt J.

AI Match Summary

Grimsby in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grimsby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Grimsby
30%
Draws
29%
York City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grimsby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Grimsby have won more games recently than York City.
  • Grimsby are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and York City have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 15%
York City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grimsby York City
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.82 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 League Two
Grimsby vs York City
5:2
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
York City vs Grimsby
2:1
Mar 13, 2012 National League
Grimsby vs York City
2:3
Feb 25, 2012 FA Trophy
Grimsby vs York City
0:1
Oct 15, 2011 National League
York City vs Grimsby
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grimsby Compare

Top Goalscorer Cook A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morgan I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Hunt A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hunt J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grimsby 84 / 100
York City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grimsby York City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grimsby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grimsby found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: York City conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Grimsby went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grimsby VS York City
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grimsby

(Home)
31 Oct
Grimsby
5 : 2
York City
24 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 4
Grimsby
20 Oct
Rochdale
2 : 2
Grimsby
17 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 2
Northampton
10 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0
Grimsby
Page 1 of 7

York City

(Away)
31 Oct
Grimsby
5 : 2
York City
27 Oct
Barnet
3 : 1
York City
24 Oct
York City
2 : 0
Port Vale
20 Oct
York City
1 : 1
Accrington
17 Oct
Newport
1 : 1
York City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 14 10 1 3 25:15 31
2 Barnet 13 7 5 1 28:18 26
3 Walsall 13 5 7 1 21:12 22
4 Crewe 14 5 7 2 17:17 22
5 Cheltenham 14 6 3 5 23:25 21
6 Grimsby 14 5 5 4 24:18 20
7 York City 14 5 5 4 24:21 20
8 Gillingham 14 5 5 4 20:19 20
9 Accrington 14 4 7 3 23:17 19
10 Chesterfield 14 5 4 5 24:21 19
11 Tranmere 14 4 7 3 19:17 19
12 Exeter 14 5 4 5 11:9 19
13 Swindon 14 5 4 5 15:17 19
14 Newport 14 4 6 4 20:17 18
15 Shrewsbury 14 5 3 6 17:22 18
16 Fleetwood Town 14 4 5 5 18:18 17
17 Bristol Rovers 14 5 1 8 17:23 16
18 Oldham 14 4 3 7 15:19 15
19 Port Vale 12 4 3 5 10:14 15
20 Rochdale 14 4 3 7 17:26 15
21 Northampton 13 3 5 5 9:10 14
22 Rotherham 14 2 6 6 18:25 12
23 Colchester 13 2 6 5 12:19 12
24 Crawley Town 12 2 3 7 13:21 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)