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Grindavik W vs KR Reykjavik W

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grindavik W play KR Reykjavik W in the Icelandic Cup Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Grindavik W averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. KR Reykjavik W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 3.38 conceded. In past meetings, Grindavik W won 3, KR Reykjavik W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 1, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Grindavik W and 1.29 for KR Reykjavik W. This points to a Grindavik W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Grindavik W
15%
Draws
32%
KR Reykjavik W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grindavik W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Grindavik W picked up more points recently compared to KR Reykjavik W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 1.29 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Grindavik W Clean Sheet 19%
KR Reykjavik W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grindavik W KR Reykjavik W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 9
Draws 3 1
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 2.07 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.77 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.86 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 5.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Icelandic Cup Women
Grindavik W vs KR Reykjavik W
2:1
Sep 17, 2018 Besta deild Women
KR Reykjavik W vs Grindavik W
2:1
Jul 4, 2018 Besta deild Women
Grindavik W vs KR Reykjavik W
2:1
Aug 10, 2017 Besta deild Women
Grindavik W vs KR Reykjavik W
1:3
May 10, 2017 Besta deild Women
KR Reykjavik W vs Grindavik W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grindavik W Compare

Top Goalscorer Young E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jonsdottir S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.97
Avg xA / game 1.93

KR Reykjavik W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gretarsdottir R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grindavik W 52 / 100
KR Reykjavik W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grindavik W KR Reykjavik W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grindavik W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Grindavik W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Grindavik W attacking → ← attacking KR Reykjavik W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grindavik W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

KR Reykjavik W let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Grindavik W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

KR Reykjavik W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 28
3.86 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.25