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Grixoa vs Dorneda

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2013/2014 game between Grixoa and Dorneda finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grixoa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Grixoa
30%
Draws
41%
Dorneda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dorneda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Grixoa have managed 0.8 goals a game lately — Dorneda are scoring more at 0.97.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Grixoa Clean Sheet 20%
Dorneda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grixoa Dorneda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.8 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Grixoa vs Dorneda
1:0
Oct 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dorneda vs Grixoa
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grixoa 36 / 100
Dorneda 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grixoa Dorneda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dorneda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorneda let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Grixoa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Grixoa's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Grixoa VS Dorneda
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Grixoa

(Home)
11 May
Grixoa
0 : 1
Rapido de Bouzas
04 May
Alondras
2 : 2
Grixoa
27 Apr
Grixoa
0 : 0
Betanzos CF
17 Apr
CD AS Pontes
3 : 0
Grixoa
13 Apr
Grixoa
3 : 2
Laracha
Page 1 of 6

Dorneda

(Away)
11 May
Dorneda
1 : 1
Pontevedra
04 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 1
Dorneda
27 Apr
Dorneda
2 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
17 Apr
Rapido de Bouzas
2 : 1
Dorneda
13 Apr
Dorneda
1 : 0
Alondras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Somozas 38 22 9 7 72:36 75
2 Cerceda 38 21 11 6 61:27 74
3 CD Boiro 38 19 17 2 66:37 74
4 Pontevedra 38 22 7 9 47:27 73
5 CD AS Pontes 38 21 10 7 72:42 73
6 CD Choco 38 19 8 11 67:51 65
7 Arosa SC 38 16 11 11 48:39 59
8 SD Ordenes 38 17 7 14 49:38 58
9 Deportivo Fabril 38 14 12 12 54:55 54
10 Rapido de Bouzas 38 14 9 15 46:51 51
11 Barbadas-Bentraces 38 12 15 11 43:43 51
12 Alondras 38 13 7 18 46:51 46
13 Racing Club Villalbes 38 12 10 16 31:47 46
14 Bertamirans FC 38 10 12 16 34:45 42
15 Laracha 38 9 10 19 31:54 37
16 CD Cultural Areas 38 10 5 23 46:74 35
17 Grixoa 38 7 12 19 32:55 33
18 Betanzos CF 38 5 16 17 30:55 31
19 Dorneda 38 8 7 23 33:57 31
20 SD Negreira 38 8 7 23 36:60 31
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)