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Grixoa vs SD Negreira

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grixoa in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grixoa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Grixoa
20%
Draws
44%
SD Negreira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SD Negreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • SD Negreira average 0.87 goals a game right now, well clear of Grixoa's 0.8.
  • Model gives Grixoa a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Grixoa Clean Sheet 20%
SD Negreira Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grixoa SD Negreira
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.8 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Grixoa vs SD Negreira
2:0
Sep 15, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Grixoa
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grixoa 42 / 100
SD Negreira 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grixoa SD Negreira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Negreira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Grixoa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: SD Negreira registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SD Negreira
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Grixoa

(Home)
11 May
Grixoa
0 : 1
Rapido de Bouzas
04 May
Alondras
2 : 2
Grixoa
27 Apr
Grixoa
0 : 0
Betanzos CF
17 Apr
CD AS Pontes
3 : 0
Grixoa
13 Apr
Grixoa
3 : 2
Laracha
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SD Negreira

(Away)
28 Oct
SD Negreira
0 : 3
Real Sociedad
04 Oct
SD Negreira
4 : 0
Textil Escudo
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1
SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2
SD Negreira
06 May
SD Negreira
2 : 1
Somozas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Somozas 38 22 9 7 72:36 75
2 Cerceda 38 21 11 6 61:27 74
3 CD Boiro 38 19 17 2 66:37 74
4 Pontevedra 38 22 7 9 47:27 73
5 CD AS Pontes 38 21 10 7 72:42 73
6 CD Choco 38 19 8 11 67:51 65
7 Arosa SC 38 16 11 11 48:39 59
8 SD Ordenes 38 17 7 14 49:38 58
9 Deportivo Fabril 38 14 12 12 54:55 54
10 Rapido de Bouzas 38 14 9 15 46:51 51
11 Barbadas-Bentraces 38 12 15 11 43:43 51
12 Alondras 38 13 7 18 46:51 46
13 Racing Club Villalbes 38 12 10 16 31:47 46
14 Bertamirans FC 38 10 12 16 34:45 42
15 Laracha 38 9 10 19 31:54 37
16 CD Cultural Areas 38 10 5 23 46:74 35
17 Grixoa 38 7 12 19 32:55 33
18 Betanzos CF 38 5 16 17 30:55 31
19 Dorneda 38 8 7 23 33:57 31
20 SD Negreira 38 8 7 23 36:60 31
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)