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Grobina vs FK Karosta

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2020
Grobina Logo

Grobina

3 - 0
FT
FK Karosta Logo

FK Karosta

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Jekabsons J.
47' Event
Seidlers M.
Own Goal
53' Event
Knapsis E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Grobina advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Grobina
20%
Draws
44%
FK Karosta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Karosta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Karosta come out ahead of Grobina on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Grobina's way, sitting at 36%.
  • FK Karosta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Grobina, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Grobina Clean Sheet 20%
FK Karosta Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grobina FK Karosta
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 5 14
Draws 11 0
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.81 2.85
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2020 Latvian Cup
Grobina vs FK Karosta
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grobina Compare

Top Goalscorer Jekabsons J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Knapsis E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

FK Karosta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grobina 36 / 100
FK Karosta 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grobina FK Karosta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Karosta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 19 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Grobina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: FK Karosta has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grobina VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Grobina

(Home)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
Page 1 of 7

FK Karosta

(Away)
27 Nov
Dinamo Riga
2 : 1
FK Karosta
20 Nov
FK Karosta
4 : 2
Dinamo Riga
17 Jul
Albatroz
5 : 1
FK Karosta
04 Jul
Plavinas
0 : 1
FK Karosta
06 Sept
Grobina
3 : 0
FK Karosta
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 2
DSVK Traktors 1
TBD -
Grobina -
Valka -
TBD -
FK Karosta 4
Jurmalas 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
Dinamo Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
Liepajas FS 1
Jekabpils SC 4
TBD -
Rezekne -
Upesciems 1
FK Limbazi 3
TBD -
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Gauja 2
Bebri 3
Lielupe 1
Priekuli 2
Plavinas 4
Sports United/Cesis 2
Kauguri-PBLC 6
Aliance 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Lokomotiv Daugavpils -
TBD -
Dobele Allegro 3
RTU 2
Marupe 0
Albatroz 1
Lubana 1
Kalupe 13
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
Tente 4
Krimulda 1
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
Super Nova -
TBD -
Salaspils FK 4
Fk Jurnieks Riga 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
1/32-finals
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 1
Grobina 7
Valka 2
FK Karosta 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 2
Saldus SS/Leevon 0
Dinamo Riga 7
FK Alberts 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
Jekabpils SC 0
Rezekne 3
FK Limbazi 0
Alberts JDFS 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Bebri 1
Priekuli 2
Plavinas 0
Kauguri-PBLC 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Lokomotiv Daugavpils 7
Dobele Allegro 0
Albatroz 5
Kalupe 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
Tente 0
FK Auda Riga 2
Super Nova 3
Salaspils FK 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
1/16-finals
Grobina 3
FK Karosta 0
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 3
Dinamo Riga 4
TBD -
Valmiera -
Rezekne 2
Alberts JDFS 1
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Priekuli 1
Kauguri-PBLC 2
TBD -
Jelgava -
Lokomotiv Daugavpils 3
Albatroz 2
TBD -
Ventspils -
FK Auda Riga 5
Super Nova 1
TBD -
RFS -
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
1/8-finals
Grobina 2
Spartaks Jurmala 5
FK Liepaja 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
Dinamo Riga 1
Valmiera 5
Rezekne 1
Tukums 2000 3
Kauguri-PBLC 0
Jelgava 9
Lokomotiv Daugavpils 0
Ventspils 4
FK Auda Riga 0
RFS 8
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 0
Quarter-finals
Spartaks Jurmala 1
FK Liepaja 3
Valmiera 1
Tukums 2000 0
Jelgava 0
Ventspils 1
RFS 3
Riga FC 2
Semi-finals
FK Liepaja 2
Valmiera 0
Ventspils 1
RFS 0
Final
FK Liepaja 1
Ventspils 0