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Grobina vs Jelgava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Grobiņas pilsētas stadions, Grobina
Grobina Logo

Grobina

0 - 0
FT
Jelgava Logo

Jelgava

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Tyshchenko I.
28'
Ribeiro J.
46'
Sub
Tyshchenko I. In: Olatunde-Matthew O.
Out: Tyshchenko I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Virsliga game between Grobina and Jelgava finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Grobina
30%
Draws
12%
Jelgava
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grobina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Jelgava carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Grobina taking it.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Grobina Clean Sheet 68%
Jelgava Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grobina Jelgava
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.83 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs Jelgava
0:0
Jun 29, 2026 Virsliga
Jelgava vs Grobina
2:0
May 11, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs Jelgava
0:0
Mar 21, 2026 Virsliga
Jelgava vs Grobina
0:1
Aug 29, 2025 Virsliga
Grobina vs Jelgava
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grobina 86 / 100
Jelgava 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grobina Jelgava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grobina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jelgava conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Grobina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jelgava's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Grobina VS Jelgava
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grobina

(Home)
17 Oct
Grobina
3 : 2
Ogre United
10 Oct
Super Nova
2 : 1
Grobina
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
Page 1 of 6

Jelgava

(Away)
18 Oct
FK Liepaja
3 : 0
Jelgava
11 Oct
RFS
4 : 2
Jelgava
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 33 26 5 2 81:24 83
2 Riga FC 33 24 7 2 90:31 79
3 FK Auda Riga 33 19 7 7 53:34 64
4 FK Liepaja 33 13 7 13 46:46 46
5 BFC Daugavpils 33 12 9 12 39:37 45
6 Super Nova 33 11 5 17 32:47 38
7 Jelgava 33 8 8 17 34:56 32
8 Grobina 33 6 11 16 25:56 29
9 Tukums 2000 33 5 9 19 44:65 24
10 Ogre United 33 4 6 23 33:81 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)