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Grobina vs Riga FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Grobiņas pilsētas stadions, Grobina
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grobina host Riga FC in the Virsliga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Grobina have averaged 0.72 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against Riga FC's 2.53 scored and 0.97 conceded. Past meetings favor Riga FC slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 1.63) point toward Riga FC. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Grobina
35%
Draws
45%
Riga FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Riga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Grobina haven't matched Riga FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Riga FC a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Riga FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Grobina Clean Sheet 14%
Riga FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grobina Riga FC
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 4 25
Draws 10 7
Losses 15 2
Goals Scored 0.72 2.53
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs Grobina
4:0
May 29, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs Grobina
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs Riga FC
0:3
Nov 2, 2025 Virsliga
Grobina vs Riga FC
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 Virsliga
Riga FC vs Grobina
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grobina 27 / 100
Riga FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grobina Riga FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Grobina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Grobina's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Grobina VS Riga FC
0.71 Goals Scored 2.13
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.63
43% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Grobina

(Home)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
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Riga FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 2
Riga FC
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)