Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grobina vs Saldus SS/Leevon Prediction & H2H Stats

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Kurtiss M.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2023 game between Grobina and Saldus SS/Leevon finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grobina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Grobina
30%
Draws
41%
Saldus SS/Leevon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saldus SS/Leevon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saldus SS/Leevon come out ahead of Grobina on wins alone.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Grobina here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Grobina Clean Sheet 20%
Saldus SS/Leevon Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grobina Saldus SS/Leevon
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 11 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.16 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2023 1. Liga
Grobina vs Saldus SS/Leevon
1:0
Jul 22, 2023 1. Liga
Saldus SS/Leevon vs Grobina
1:2
Sep 17, 2022 1. Liga
Saldus SS/Leevon vs Grobina
0:4
May 15, 2022 1. Liga
Grobina vs Saldus SS/Leevon
4:1
Nov 13, 2021 1. Liga
Grobina vs Saldus SS/Leevon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grobina Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurtiss M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Saldus SS/Leevon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grobina 36 / 100
Saldus SS/Leevon 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grobina Saldus SS/Leevon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saldus SS/Leevon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saldus SS/Leevon has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Grobina stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Grobina found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (37 games).

Scoring Trends

Grobina VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Grobina

(Home)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
Page 1 of 8

Saldus SS/Leevon

(Away)
12 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 1
Saldus SS/Leevon
04 Nov
Grobina
1 : 0
Saldus SS/Leevon
29 Oct
Riga FC 2
2 : 2
Saldus SS/Leevon
22 Oct
Saldus SS/Leevon
3 : 0
Rezekne
08 Oct
Beitar
2 : 0
Saldus SS/Leevon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grobina 26 21 3 2 71:17 66
2 Riga FC 2 26 20 4 2 85:15 64
3 Skanste 26 19 2 5 58:21 59
4 Alberts JDFS 26 13 8 5 60:36 47
5 Saldus SS/Leevon 26 12 4 10 40:28 40
6 RFS 2 26 11 4 11 58:42 37
7 Beitar 26 11 2 13 41:66 35
8 Tukums 2000 2 26 10 3 13 41:54 33
9 JFK Ventspils 26 8 6 12 24:29 30
10 Valmiera 2 26 7 7 12 30:40 28
11 AFA Olaine 26 5 8 13 36:61 23
12 FK Smiltene 26 6 4 16 31:67 22
13 Dinamo Riga 26 5 3 18 27:66 18
14 Rezekne 26 3 4 19 18:78 13
Promotion - Virsliga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2023 (Relegation)