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Grobnican vs Novigrad

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Grobnican Logo

Grobnican

3 - 0
FT
Novigrad Logo

Novigrad

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL West game between Grobnican and Novigrad finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grobnican.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Grobnican
30%
Draws
16%
Novigrad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grobnican

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novigrad come out ahead of Grobnican on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Grobnican's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Grobnican Clean Sheet 68%
Novigrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grobnican Novigrad
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.58 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 3. HNL West
Novigrad vs Grobnican
3:3
Oct 23, 2021 3. HNL West
Grobnican vs Novigrad
3:0
May 1, 2021 3. HNL West
Novigrad vs Grobnican
2:1
Oct 17, 2020 3. HNL West
Grobnican vs Novigrad
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grobnican 77 / 100
Novigrad 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grobnican Novigrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grobnican Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Grobnican scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Novigrad conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Grobnican remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grobnican VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Grobnican

(Home)
26 Sept
Jarun
3 : 0
Grobnican
19 Sept
Grobnican
5 : 1
NK Koprivnica
12 Sept
Bjelovar
4 : 0
Grobnican
05 Sept
Grobnican
2 : 2
NK Inker Zapresic
29 Aug
Grobnican
1 : 0
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
Page 1 of 7

Novigrad

(Away)
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Jadran Porec
0 : 0
Novigrad
14 May
Novigrad
2 : 3
Rudar Labin
07 May
Krk
4 : 1
Novigrad
30 Apr
Novigrad
3 : 3
Grobnican
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)