Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Groene Ster vs AFC

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
de Mooij S.
27' Event
de Mooij S.
31' Event
van der Linden F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-6. This leg finished 1-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Groene Ster
30%
Draws
39%
AFC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AFC lately — more wins on the board than Groene Ster.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on AFC taking it.
  • AFC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AFC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Groene Ster Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groene Ster AFC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 KNVB Beker
Groene Ster vs AFC
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Groene Ster Compare

Top Goalscorer de Kleijn J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

AFC Compare

Top Goalscorer de Mooij S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader van der Linden F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groene Ster 10 / 100
AFC 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groene Ster AFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Groene Ster scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Recent resilience: Groene Ster stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Groene Ster VS AFC
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Groene Ster

(Home)
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6
AFC
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1
Groene Ster
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0
VV Zwaluwen
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3
Groene Ster
02 Sept
Groene Ster
2 : 1
VV Heerjansdam
Page 1 of 7

AFC

(Away)
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6
AFC
19 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
1 : 3
AFC
12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2
Hardenberg
05 Sept
Rijnsburgse Boys
3 : 0
AFC
01 Sept
Be Quick 1887
0 : 2
AFC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
USV Hercules 1
EVV 3
HVV Hollandia 2
RKSV Halsteren 3
Rijnvogels 5
VV Bennekom 0
VVSB 2
Ajax (Am) 0
Sportlust 3
Blauw Geel 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk 1
Excelsior Maassluis 2
Longa '30 0
Koninklijke HFC 4
Surhusterfean 1
VV DOVO 2
Harkemase Boys 0
Excelsior 31 1
Alkmaarse FC 1934 4
VV Scherpenzeel 1
RKAV Volendam -
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Spakenburg -
NSVV 2
VV Kloetinge 4
Achilles Veen 4
SV Poortugaal 2
Mierlo-Hout 2
Germania Groesbeek 3
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Kozakken Boys -
Groene Ster 2
VV Heerjansdam 1
Be Quick 1887 0
AFC 2
GOES 0
VV Noordwijk 1
HZVV Hoogeveen 0
Frisia 4
ACV Assen 6
Westlandia 1
VV Hoogeveen 3
SVZW Wierden 2
Lierop 0
VV Zwaluwen 7
Purmersteijn 4
RKVV Zwaluw 3
Staphorst 3
UNA 2
Genemuiden 2
Lisse 1
Elinkwijk 0
Eemdijk 3
GSV 28 0
Roosendaal 4
Sparta Nijkerk 2
Venray 0
Rkvv Spartaan 20 0
RKSV UDI 19 5
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FC 's-Gravenzande 0
Gemert 2
GVVV -
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ATC 65 1
DVS '33 Ermelo 2
Dongen 2
Watergraafsmeer 4
TEC 4
Almkerk 2
TOGB 3
Katwijk 2
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1/64-finals
EVV 3
RKSV Halsteren 1
Rijnvogels 0
VVSB 1
Sportlust 0
Excelsior Maassluis 2
Koninklijke HFC 3
VV DOVO 1
Excelsior 31 4
Alkmaarse FC 1934 3
RKAV Volendam 3
Spakenburg 2
VV Kloetinge 8
Achilles Veen 0
Germania Groesbeek 1
Kozakken Boys 5
Groene Ster 1
AFC 6
VV Noordwijk 1
Frisia 0
ACV Assen 2
VV Hoogeveen 1
VV Zwaluwen 0
Purmersteijn 1
Staphorst 2
Genemuiden 3
Eemdijk 2
Roosendaal 1
Sparta Nijkerk 3
RKSV UDI 19 1
IJsselmeervogels 0
Gemert 3
GVVV 4
DVS '33 Ermelo 0
Watergraafsmeer 5
TEC 4
TOGB 4
Rohda Raalte 6
Hardenberg 0
Barendrecht 1
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