Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Groene Ster in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Groene Ster.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
35%
6%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Groene Ster
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Groene Ster have won more games recently than ASWH.
- Model gives Groene Ster a 59% chance of winning this.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Groene Ster Clean Sheet 14%
ASWH Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Groene Ster | ASWH |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.04 | 2.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.17 | 1.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs ASWH
3:1
Dec 13, 2025 Derde Divisie
ASWH vs Groene Ster
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Groene Ster 84 / 100
ASWH 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Groene Ster ASWH
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Groene Ster Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: ASWH conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.
Groene Ster has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Groene Ster scored in 70% of their last 27 games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Groene Ster VS ASWH
1.13 Goals Scored 1.2
2 Goals Conceded 3.2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 80%
50% Over 3.5 80%
Recent Form & Match History
Groene Ster
(Home) 19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1 Groene Ster
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
02 Sept
Groene Ster
2 : 1 VV Heerjansdam
30 Aug
Groene Ster
3 : 3 VVSB
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
02 Sept
Groene Ster
2 : 1 VV Heerjansdam
30 Aug
Groene Ster
3 : 3 VVSB
16 Aug
Groene Ster
1 : 3 Roosendaal
01 Aug
Groene Ster
3 : 1 Belisia Bilzen
Page 1 of 3
ASWH
(Away) 23 May
Groene Ster
3 : 1 ASWH
16 May
ASWH
1 : 6 VV Zwaluwen
09 May
SVV Scheveningen
2 : 2 ASWH
25 Apr
ASWH
2 : 3 Roosendaal
18 Apr
UNA
2 : 0 ASWH
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Groene Ster
3 : 1 ASWH
09 May
SVV Scheveningen
2 : 2 ASWH
18 Apr
UNA
2 : 0 ASWH
28 Mar
GOES
0 : 1 ASWH
14 Mar
Meerssen
2 : 2 ASWH
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
