Sport Picks
Groene Ster vs Gemert - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
Gemert in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gemert.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gemert
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gemert lately — more wins on the board than Groene Ster.
- Win probability leans Gemert's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Gemert have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Groene Ster Clean Sheet 10%
Gemert Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Groene Ster | Gemert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 17 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 2.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.36 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs Gemert
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs Gemert
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs Groene Ster
1:0
May 25, 2024 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs Gemert
3:4
Dec 17, 2023 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs Groene Ster
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Groene Ster 10 / 100
Gemert 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Groene Ster Gemert
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gemert Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gemert let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Groene Ster found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Groene Ster went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Groene Ster VS Gemert
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Groene Ster
(Home) 03 Oct
Rijnvogels
5 : 1 Groene Ster
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2 Gemert
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6 AFC
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1 Groene Ster
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2 Gemert
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6 AFC
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
02 Sept
Groene Ster
2 : 1 VV Heerjansdam
30 Aug
Groene Ster
3 : 3 VVSB
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Gemert
(Away) 04 Oct
Gemert
0 : 2 Lisse
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2 Gemert
23 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3 Gemert
20 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1 RKSV UDI 19
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2 Gemert
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27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2 Gemert
23 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3 Gemert
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2 Gemert
02 Sept
FC 's-Gravenzande
0 : 2 Gemert
30 Aug
Dongen
3 : 2 Gemert
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
