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Groene Ster vs GOES - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Groene Ster host GOES in the Derde Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Groene Ster at 1.37 goals for, 2.3 against; GOES at 1.38 for, 2.03 against. Head-to-head, Groene Ster have won 1 to GOES's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.69 - 2.25) back Groene Ster to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Groene Ster
20%
Draws
57%
GOES
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: GOES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Groene Ster lately — more wins on the board than GOES.
  • GOES are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Groene Ster Clean Sheet 10%
GOES Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groene Ster GOES
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.3 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs GOES
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Derde Divisie
GOES vs Groene Ster
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groene Ster 10 / 100
GOES 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groene Ster GOES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GOES has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Groene Ster scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Groene Ster went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Groene Ster VS GOES
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Groene Ster

(Home)
03 Oct
Rijnvogels
5 : 1
Groene Ster
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2
Gemert
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6
AFC
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1
Groene Ster
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0
VV Zwaluwen
Page 1 of 6

GOES

(Away)
04 Oct
GOES
0 : 4
RKSV UDI 19
26 Sept
SV Poortugaal
0 : 3
GOES
20 Sept
GOES
2 : 1
UNA
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3
GOES
06 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 2
GOES
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)