Sport Picks
Grom Nowy Staw vs Baltyk Koszalin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
22'
22'
Krauze A.
34'
34'
Mariusz B.
(Penalty)
48'
48'
Zielinski W.
AI Match Summary
Baltyk Koszalin in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baltyk Koszalin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baltyk Koszalin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Baltyk Koszalin lately — more wins on the board than Grom Nowy Staw.
- Model gives Grom Nowy Staw a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Grom Nowy Staw Clean Sheet 10%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grom Nowy Staw | Baltyk Koszalin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Grom Nowy Staw vs Baltyk Koszalin
1:3
Apr 11, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Grom Nowy Staw vs Baltyk Koszalin
0:0
Aug 31, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Grom Nowy Staw
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grom Nowy Staw Compare
Top Goalscorer Zielinski W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Baltyk Koszalin Compare
Top Goalscorer Krauze A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mariusz B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grom Nowy Staw 40 / 100
Baltyk Koszalin 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grom Nowy Staw Baltyk Koszalin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Grom Nowy Staw scored in 90% of their last 20 games.
Baltyk Koszalin has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Grom Nowy Staw stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Grom Nowy Staw VS Baltyk Koszalin
2.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Grom Nowy Staw
(Home) 10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0 Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3 Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3 Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0 Swinoujscie
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1 Grom Nowy Staw
Page 1 of 4
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3 Baltyk Koszalin
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0 Swinoujscie
05 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
4 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
23 Aug
Grom Nowy Staw
3 : 4 Kluczevia Stargard
15 Aug
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 2 Elana Torun
Page 1 of 3
Baltyk Koszalin
(Away) 10 Oct
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 1 Unia Swarzedz
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3 Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2 Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3 Baltyk Koszalin
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
05 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 2 Baltyk Koszalin
19 Aug
Kotwica Kornik
0 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
09 Aug
Luzino
1 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
