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Grom Nowy Staw vs Elana Torun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mielnik A.
42' Event
Woroniecki K.
87' Event
Roznowski M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Grom Nowy Staw and Elana Torun finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elana Torun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Grom Nowy Staw
20%
Draws
46%
Elana Torun
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elana Torun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Elana Torun have managed 1.55 goals a game lately — Grom Nowy Staw are scoring more at 2.25.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Grom Nowy Staw Clean Sheet 10%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grom Nowy Staw Elana Torun
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 2 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.25 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Grom Nowy Staw vs Elana Torun
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grom Nowy Staw Compare

Top Goalscorer Mielnik A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Elana Torun Compare

Top Goalscorer Woroniecki K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roznowski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grom Nowy Staw 30 / 100
Elana Torun 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grom Nowy Staw Elana Torun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grom Nowy Staw scored in 90% of their last 20 outings.

Elana Torun has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Grom Nowy Staw has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grom Nowy Staw VS Elana Torun
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Grom Nowy Staw

(Home)
10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0
Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3
Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3
Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0
Swinoujscie
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
Page 1 of 4

Elana Torun

(Away)
09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0
Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1
Luzino
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2
Elana Torun
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1
Elana Torun
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)