Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group II 2019/2020

Jarocin

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Grom Nowy Staw host Jarocin in the III Liga - Group II 2019/2020. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Grom Nowy Staw have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Jarocin's 1.63 scored and 2.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Grom Nowy Staw have won 0 to Jarocin's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.56) point toward Grom Nowy Staw. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Grom Nowy Staw

22%

Draws

18%

Jarocin

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Grom Nowy Staw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Jarocin carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Grom Nowy Staw a 60% chance of winning this.
Regular III Liga - Group II 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Grom Nowy Staw Clean Sheet 15%

Jarocin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Grom Nowy Staw	Jarocin
Matches Played	11	31
Wins	4	8
Draws	1	5
Losses	6	18
Goals Scored	1.38	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.5	2.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2020 III Liga - Group II

Grom Nowy Staw vs Jarocin

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Nov 17, 2019 III Liga - Group II

Jarocin vs Grom Nowy Staw

Possession: 51% - 44% Cards: 2 - 0

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grom Nowy Staw 57 / 100

Jarocin 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Grom Nowy Staw Jarocin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarocin has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Grom Nowy Staw scored in 73% of their last 11 games.

Recent resilience: Grom Nowy Staw stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Grom Nowy Staw VS Jarocin

1.38 Goals Scored 1.63

1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63

75% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	KKS Kalisz	18	14	3	1	41:12	45
2	Stezyca	18	11	7	0	37:10	40
3	Swit Szczecin	18	11	6	1	30:7	39
4	Kotwica Kolobrzeg	18	13	0	5	37:22	39
5	KS Mieszko Gniezno	18	11	3	4	33:17	36
6	Unia Janikowo	18	10	3	5	43:29	33
7	Kleczew	18	8	3	7	22:22	27
8	Starogard Gdanski	18	7	4	7	19:20	25
9	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	18	6	5	7	28:24	23
10	Pogon Szczecin II	18	6	3	9	23:30	21
11	Chemik Police	18	6	3	9	21:27	21
12	Gwardia Koszalin	18	5	3	10	19:37	18
13	Baltyk Koszalin	18	4	5	9	17:35	17
14	Nielba Wagrowiec	18	4	4	10	22:38	16
15	Jarocin	18	3	6	9	18:24	15
16	Gornik Konin	18	4	2	12	22:37	14
17	Grom Nowy Staw	18	3	5	10	19:35	14
18	B. Gdynia	18	3	1	14	12:37	10