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Grom Nowy Staw vs Lipno Steszew - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Rutowski K.
77' Event
Kuznik A.
89' Event
Jankowski I.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Grom Nowy Staw and Lipno Steszew finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lipno Steszew.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Grom Nowy Staw
15%
Draws
64%
Lipno Steszew
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lipno Steszew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lipno Steszew come out ahead of Grom Nowy Staw on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Lipno Steszew taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Grom Nowy Staw Clean Sheet 13%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grom Nowy Staw Lipno Steszew
Matches Played 23 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 2 3
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Grom Nowy Staw vs Lipno Steszew
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grom Nowy Staw Compare

Top Goalscorer Jankowski I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Lipno Steszew Compare

Top Goalscorer Rutowski K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kuznik A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grom Nowy Staw 27 / 100
Lipno Steszew 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grom Nowy Staw Lipno Steszew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lipno Steszew Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grom Nowy Staw scored in 91% of their last 23 outings.

Defensive concern: Lipno Steszew conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Grom Nowy Staw has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grom Nowy Staw VS Lipno Steszew
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grom Nowy Staw

(Home)
31 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 2
Lipno Steszew
24 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
17 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
2 : 0
Chemik Bydgoszcz
10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0
Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3
Baltyk Koszalin
Page 1 of 5

Lipno Steszew

(Away)
31 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 2
Lipno Steszew
24 Oct
Lipno Steszew
1 : 2
Gedania Gdansk
17 Oct
Lipno Steszew
1 : 0
KKS Kalisz
10 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 4
Lipno Steszew
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 15 11 4 0 43:20 37
2 Luzino 15 9 1 5 40:25 28
3 Wda Swiecie 15 8 4 3 23:19 28
4 Kluczevia Stargard 14 8 2 4 25:22 26
5 Lech Poznan II 14 7 3 4 36:27 24
6 Blekitni Stargard 15 6 5 4 35:26 23
7 Baltyk Koszalin 15 5 5 5 22:20 20
8 Elana Torun 15 5 5 5 23:25 20
9 Notec Czarnkow 15 6 2 7 21:23 20
10 Unia Swarzedz 15 5 4 6 24:21 19
11 Gedania Gdansk 15 4 7 4 30:29 19
12 KKS Kalisz 15 4 7 4 18:20 19
13 Grom Nowy Staw 15 5 1 9 32:34 16
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 15 3 6 6 24:30 15
15 Swinoujscie 15 4 3 8 18:32 15
16 Lipno Steszew 15 4 2 9 19:29 14
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 15 2 7 6 12:24 13
18 Kotwica Kornik 15 3 2 10 20:39 11
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)