Sport Picks
Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
37'
37'
Wilczynski J.
41'
41'
Jankowski I.
(Penalty)
42'
42'
Wilczynski J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 4-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Polonia Sroda Wielkopol lately — more wins on the board than Grom Nowy Staw.
- Win probability leans Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Grom Nowy Staw Clean Sheet 10%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grom Nowy Staw | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 18 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 2.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 2.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4:4
May 16, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:0
Oct 12, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Grom Nowy Staw
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grom Nowy Staw Compare
Top Goalscorer Jankowski I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zielinski W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare
Top Goalscorer Wilczynski J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Skrobosinski P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grom Nowy Staw 18 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grom Nowy Staw Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Grom Nowy Staw found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (20 games).
Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Solid form: Grom Nowy Staw remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Grom Nowy Staw VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2.88 Goals Scored 3
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Grom Nowy Staw
(Home) 10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0 Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3 Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3 Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0 Swinoujscie
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1 Grom Nowy Staw
Page 1 of 4
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3 Baltyk Koszalin
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0 Swinoujscie
05 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
4 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
23 Aug
Grom Nowy Staw
3 : 4 Kluczevia Stargard
15 Aug
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 2 Elana Torun
Page 1 of 3
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
(Away) 09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0 Kluczevia Stargard
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
05 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
4 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
22 Aug
Lipno Steszew
2 : 3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
14 Aug
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
