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Grom Nowy Staw vs Swinoujscie Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Jankowski I.
17' Event
Zielinski W.
21' Event
Jankowski I.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Grom Nowy Staw and Swinoujscie finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grom Nowy Staw.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Grom Nowy Staw
30%
Draws
29%
Swinoujscie
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grom Nowy Staw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Swinoujscie carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Grom Nowy Staw a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Grom Nowy Staw Clean Sheet 10%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grom Nowy Staw Swinoujscie
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.41 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.18 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Grom Nowy Staw vs Swinoujscie
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grom Nowy Staw Compare

Top Goalscorer Jankowski I.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Zielinski W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Swinoujscie Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grom Nowy Staw 83 / 100
Swinoujscie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grom Nowy Staw Swinoujscie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grom Nowy Staw Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grom Nowy Staw found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (17 games).

Swinoujscie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Grom Nowy Staw remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grom Nowy Staw VS Swinoujscie
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grom Nowy Staw

(Home)
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0
Swinoujscie
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
05 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
4 : 4
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
29 Aug
Lech Poznan II
2 : 4
Grom Nowy Staw
23 Aug
Grom Nowy Staw
3 : 4
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 4

Swinoujscie

(Away)
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0
Swinoujscie
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
05 Sept
Lipno Steszew
1 : 3
Swinoujscie
29 Aug
Swinoujscie
1 : 5
Blekitni Stargard
22 Aug
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1
Swinoujscie
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzino 10 8 1 1 30:10 25
2 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 10 7 3 0 29:16 24
3 Kluczevia Stargard 10 6 1 3 19:16 19
4 Wda Swiecie 9 5 3 1 15:10 18
5 KKS Kalisz 10 4 5 1 16:10 17
6 Blekitni Stargard 10 4 3 3 22:19 15
7 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
8 Swinoujscie 10 4 2 4 15:17 14
9 Grom Nowy Staw 10 4 1 5 27:25 13
10 Notec Czarnkow 10 4 1 5 15:15 13
11 Baltyk Koszalin 10 3 3 4 12:14 12
12 Gedania Gdansk 10 2 4 4 23:24 10
13 Unia Swarzedz 10 3 1 6 13:19 10
14 Kotwica Kornik 10 3 1 6 18:25 10
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 10 1 6 3 16:21 9
16 Elana Torun 10 1 4 5 13:21 7
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 10 1 4 5 11:23 7
18 Lipno Steszew 10 1 2 7 11:22 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)