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Grom Nowy Staw vs Unia Janikowo

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2019/2020
Wed, Apr 22, 2020
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grom Nowy Staw host Unia Janikowo in the III Liga - Group II 2019/2020. This has Grom Nowy Staw written all over it on paper. Unia Janikowo have shipped 3 goals a game lately, while Grom Nowy Staw have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Grom Nowy Staw have won 0 to Unia Janikowo's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.25) point toward Grom Nowy Staw. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Grom Nowy Staw
6%
Draws
4%
Unia Janikowo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Grom Nowy Staw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grom Nowy Staw lately — more wins on the board than Unia Janikowo.
  • Win probability leans Grom Nowy Staw's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Grom Nowy Staw Clean Sheet 19%
Unia Janikowo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grom Nowy Staw Unia Janikowo
Matches Played 12 29
Wins 5 1
Draws 1 3
Losses 6 25
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Grom Nowy Staw vs Unia Janikowo
0:0
Sep 14, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Unia Janikowo vs Grom Nowy Staw
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grom Nowy Staw 85 / 100
Unia Janikowo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grom Nowy Staw Unia Janikowo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unia Janikowo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Unia Janikowo lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Grom Nowy Staw found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (12 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Grom Nowy Staw VS Unia Janikowo
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KKS Kalisz18143141:1245
2Stezyca18117037:1040
3Swit Szczecin18116130:739
4Kotwica Kolobrzeg18130537:2239
5KS Mieszko Gniezno18113433:1736
6Unia Janikowo18103543:2933
7Kleczew1883722:2227
8Starogard Gdanski1874719:2025
9Polonia Sroda Wielkopol1865728:2423
10Pogon Szczecin II1863923:3021
11Chemik Police1863921:2721
12Gwardia Koszalin18531019:3718
13Baltyk Koszalin1845917:3517
14Nielba Wagrowiec18441022:3816
15Jarocin1836918:2415
16Gornik Konin18421222:3714
17Grom Nowy Staw18351019:3514
18B. Gdynia18311412:3710