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Groningen vs Sittard

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Euroborg, Groningen
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Guth R.
12' Event
Ihattaren M.
Assist: Zeefuik L.
19' Event
van der Werff D.
Assist: Schreuders J.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie game between Groningen and Sittard finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sittard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Groningen
20%
Draws
47%
Sittard
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sittard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Groningen haven't matched Sittard's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Groningen Clean Sheet 12%
Sittard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groningen Sittard
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Sittard
2:3
Jan 25, 2026 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Sittard
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Eredivisie
Sittard vs Groningen
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Sittard
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Eredivisie
Sittard vs Groningen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Groningen Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Werff D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sittard Compare

Top Goalscorer Ihattaren M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zeefuik L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groningen 30 / 100
Sittard 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groningen Sittard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Groningen found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Sittard's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Groningen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Groningen VS Sittard
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Groningen

(Home)
06 Sept
Groningen
2 : 2
Twente
28 Aug
Groningen
2 : 3
Sittard
23 Aug
PSV
5 : 1
Groningen
16 Aug
Den Haag
1 : 4
Groningen
09 Aug
Groningen
2 : 1
Utrecht
Page 1 of 6

Sittard

(Away)
06 Sept
Den Haag
2 : 3
Sittard
28 Aug
Groningen
2 : 3
Sittard
22 Aug
Sittard
0 : 2
AZ Alkmaar
15 Aug
Sittard
3 : 1
Cambuur
08 Aug
PSV
2 : 2
Sittard
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 5 5 0 0 16:5 15
2 PSV 5 4 1 0 18:6 13
3 Feyenoord 5 3 2 0 13:7 11
4 Excelsior 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
5 Twente 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
6 Sittard 5 3 1 1 11:9 10
7 G.A. Eagles 5 2 2 1 14:12 8
8 Ajax 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
9 Nijmegen 5 2 1 2 11:9 7
10 Groningen 5 2 1 2 11:12 7
11 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 9:9 5
12 Heerenveen 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Zwolle 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
14 Telstar 5 1 1 3 5:11 4
15 Utrecht 5 0 2 3 9:18 2
16 Willem II 4 0 1 3 4:13 1
17 Den Haag 5 0 1 4 6:14 1
18 Cambuur 5 0 1 4 6:18 1
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)