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Groningen vs Sittard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Euroborg, Groningen
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Guth R.
12' Event
Ihattaren M.
Assist: Zeefuik L.
19' Event
van der Werff D.
Assist: Schreuders J.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie game between Groningen and Sittard finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sittard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Groningen
35%
Draws
37%
Sittard
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sittard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Groningen haven't matched Sittard's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41.2%
Groningen Clean Sheet 10%
Sittard Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groningen Sittard
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.68 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Sittard
2:3
Jan 25, 2026 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Sittard
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Eredivisie
Sittard vs Groningen
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Sittard
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Eredivisie
Sittard vs Groningen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Groningen Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Werff D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sittard Compare

Top Goalscorer Ihattaren M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zeefuik L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groningen 34 / 100
Sittard 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groningen Sittard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sittard Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Groningen found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Sittard's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Groningen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Groningen VS Sittard
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Groningen

(Home)
29 Oct
Groningen
0 : 2
FC Emmen
25 Oct
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Groningen
18 Oct
Groningen
2 : 5
Ajax
11 Oct
Excelsior
1 : 5
Groningen
18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0
Zwolle
Page 1 of 6

Sittard

(Away)
31 Oct
Feyenoord
1 : 1
Sittard
28 Oct
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 3
Sittard
25 Oct
Sittard
1 : 0
Excelsior
18 Oct
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Sittard
10 Oct
Sittard
1 : 1
Twente
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 11 7 4 0 33:12 25
2 Ajax 11 7 3 1 30:13 24
3 PSV 11 7 2 2 35:13 23
4 Twente 10 6 2 2 19:10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar 11 6 2 3 20:13 20
6 Sittard 11 5 4 2 18:18 19
7 Heerenveen 11 5 3 3 19:13 18
8 Groningen 10 4 3 3 24:21 15
9 Cambuur 11 4 3 4 23:22 15
10 G.A. Eagles 11 3 5 3 23:27 14
11 Utrecht 10 3 3 4 17:27 12
12 Excelsior 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
13 Nijmegen 11 2 5 4 17:19 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam 10 2 3 5 17:24 9
15 Zwolle 10 2 2 6 11:23 8
16 Telstar 10 1 3 6 12:21 6
17 Den Haag 10 1 3 6 13:23 6
18 Willem II 11 0 2 9 10:39 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)