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Groningen vs Zwolle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Euroborg, Groningen
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
van Bergen T.
Assist: van der Werff D.
28'
Sub
Cissoko I. In: Sorensen E.
Out: Cissoko I.
43' Event
Schreuders J.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie game between Groningen and Zwolle finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Groningen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Groningen
30%
Draws
31%
Zwolle
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Groningen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Groningen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Groningen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Groningen Clean Sheet 16%
Zwolle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groningen Zwolle
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.48 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Zwolle
3:0
Mar 13, 2026 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Groningen
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Zwolle
2:2
May 18, 2025 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Groningen
2:0
Dec 8, 2024 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Zwolle
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Groningen Compare

Top Goalscorer van Bergen T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schreuders J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Zwolle Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groningen 84 / 100
Zwolle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groningen Zwolle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Groningen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Groningen found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Zwolle let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Groningen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Groningen VS Zwolle
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Groningen

(Home)
18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0
Zwolle
12 Sept
G.A. Eagles
1 : 1
Groningen
06 Sept
Groningen
2 : 2
Twente
28 Aug
Groningen
2 : 3
Sittard
23 Aug
PSV
5 : 1
Groningen
Page 1 of 6

Zwolle

(Away)
18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0
Zwolle
13 Sept
Zwolle
0 : 7
Feyenoord
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Zwolle
29 Aug
Zwolle
1 : 3
Nijmegen
22 Aug
Heerenveen
0 : 2
Zwolle
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 7 6 1 0 18:6 19
2 Feyenoord 7 5 2 0 25:7 17
3 PSV 7 5 1 1 24:10 16
4 Twente 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
5 Ajax 7 4 2 1 21:9 14
6 Sittard 7 4 1 2 13:14 13
7 Excelsior 7 3 2 2 15:9 11
8 Groningen 7 3 2 2 15:13 11
9 G.A. Eagles 7 2 4 1 16:14 10
10 Heerenveen 7 2 3 2 11:9 9
11 Nijmegen 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 2 4 10:17 5
13 Telstar 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Cambuur 7 1 2 4 10:19 5
15 Utrecht 7 1 2 4 11:24 5
16 Zwolle 7 1 1 5 6:20 4
17 Den Haag 7 0 2 5 7:17 2
18 Willem II 7 0 2 5 6:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)