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Stadium Background

Groningen W vs SBV Excelsior W

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker Women Euroborg, Groningen
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Hendriks K.
Assist: Homan C.
10' Event
Hendriks K.
Assist: van Spijk V.
36' Event
Hilhorst N.
Assist: Homan C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-6. The second leg ended 1-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Groningen W
25%
Draws
35%
SBV Excelsior W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Groningen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Groningen W haven't matched SBV Excelsior W's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Groningen W taking it.
  • SBV Excelsior W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor SBV Excelsior W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Groningen W Clean Sheet 10%
SBV Excelsior W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groningen W SBV Excelsior W
Matches Played 1 29
Wins 0 6
Draws 0 2
Losses 1 21
Goals Scored 1 1.21
Goals Conceded 6 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2025 KNVB Beker Women
Groningen W vs SBV Excelsior W
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Groningen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pomper P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

SBV Excelsior W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hendriks K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Verheijen J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.41
Avg xA / game 2.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groningen W 74 / 100
SBV Excelsior W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groningen W SBV Excelsior W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Groningen W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Groningen W's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 1 recent games.

SBV Excelsior W let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

SBV Excelsior W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Groningen W VS SBV Excelsior W
1 Goals Scored 1.5
6 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Groningen W

(Home)
14 Dec
Groningen W
1 : 6
SBV Excelsior W

SBV Excelsior W

(Away)
18 Jul
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 4
De Graafschap W
22 May
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
SBV Excelsior W
08 May
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 3
Feyenoord W
03 May
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 2
Ajax W
26 Apr
PEC Zwolle W
4 : 1
SBV Excelsior W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Groningen W 1
SBV Excelsior W 6
Den Haag W 0
Twente W 2
De Graafschap W 1
Sparta Rotterdam W 3
NAC Breda W 2
Hera United W 3
Feyenoord W 1
PEC Zwolle W 0
Ajax W 1
AZ Alkmaar W 2
PSV W 7
Rijnvogels W 0
Utrecht W 4
Heerenveen W 2
Quarter-finals
SBV Excelsior W 1
Twente W 3
Sparta Rotterdam W 1
Hera United W 2
Feyenoord W 0
AZ Alkmaar W 1
PSV W 3
Utrecht W 0
Semi-finals
Twente W 3
Hera United W 0
AZ Alkmaar W 1
PSV W 2
Final
Twente W 3
PSV W 2