Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Grorud at 1.71 goals for, 1.11 against; Moss at 1.62 for, 2.14 against. Head-to-head, Grorud have won 1 to Moss's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 10, 2024, ending 2:1. xG projections (2.06 - 1.31) back Grorud to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grorud
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Grorud carry the better recent record into this one.
- Grorud are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Grorud have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Moss, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Grorud Clean Sheet 18%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grorud | Moss |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Moss vs Grorud
2:1
Apr 2, 2023 Club Friendly
Moss vs Grorud
3:0
Oct 13, 2018 Division 2 - Group 1
Moss vs Grorud
1:1
Jun 23, 2018 Division 2 - Group 1
Grorud vs Moss
1:3
Apr 22, 2015 NM Cup
Moss vs Grorud
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grorud 85 / 100
Moss 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grorud Moss
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Grorud Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Moss conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
Grorud has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Grorud's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Grorud VS Moss
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Grorud
(Home) 16 Sept
Grorud
2 : 0 Tromsdalen (TUIL)
12 Sept
Honefoss
1 : 1 Grorud
06 Sept
Grorud
4 : 2 Rana FK
30 Aug
Eidsvold TF
0 : 0 Grorud
22 Aug
Lokomotiv Oslo
1 : 5 Grorud
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Grorud
2 : 0 Tromsdalen (TUIL)
06 Sept
Grorud
4 : 2 Rana FK
25 Jul
Grorud
0 : 1 Stjordals Blink
21 Jun
Grorud
3 : 0 Junkeren
31 May
Grorud
2 : 1 Trygg/Lade
Page 1 of 3
Moss
(Away) 13 Sept
Moss
1 : 4 Haugesund
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3 Moss
30 Aug
Moss
1 : 2 Strommen
26 Aug
Moss
2 : 2 Sogndal
22 Aug
Lorenskog
0 : 3 Moss
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3 Moss
22 Aug
Lorenskog
0 : 3 Moss
15 Aug
Bryne
2 : 1 Moss
02 Aug
Hodd
2 : 1 Moss
04 Jul
Egersund
3 : 0 Moss
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Floro 2
Forde 4
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Froya 0
Sotra 6
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Brodd 1
Viking 3
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Aurskog/Finstadbru 0
Lillestrom 3
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
Rade 1
Follo 2
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
1/32-finals
Alta 1
Tromso 2
Floya 1
Rosenborg 4
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Strommen 1
Rana FK -
Bodo/Glimt -
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Stjordals Blink 0
Fredrikstad 1
Trygg/Lade 0
Molde 5
Brattvag 1
Kristiansund 2
Traeff 0
Hodd 3
Forde 3
Aalesund 4
Sotra 1
Sogndal 2
Sandviken 2
Asane 3
OS TF 1
Brann 2
Bjarg 1
Bryne 4
Djerv 1919 0
Haugesund 4
Madla IL -
Viking -
Vindbjart 2
Start 3
Jerv 1
Egersund 2
Arendal 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Pors 2
Stabaek 1
Notodden 2
Odds BK 3
Flint -
Sandefjord -
Honefoss -
KFUM Oslo -
Elverum 0
Raufoss 3
Eidsvold TF 2
Kongsvinger 3
Asker 1
Stromsgodset 4
Baerum -
Lillestrom -
Skeid -
Valerenga -
Kjelsas 0
Ham-Kam 2
Gamle Oslo 1
Lyn 3
Grorud -
Moss -
Follo -
Sarpsborg 08 -
1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
