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Grosseto vs Cannara Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 Stadio Carlo Zecchini, Grosseto
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Sabelli P.
41' Event
Marzierli E.
70' Event
Sacchini S.

AI Match Summary

Grosseto in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grosseto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Grosseto
30%
Draws
33%
Cannara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Grosseto have won more games recently than Cannara.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Grosseto taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Grosseto have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 68%
Cannara Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grosseto Cannara
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.59 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Cannara
6:0
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Cannara vs Grosseto
2:3
Mar 8, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Cannara vs Grosseto
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Cannara
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grosseto Compare

Top Goalscorer Sacchini S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sabelli P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cannara Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosseto 59 / 100
Cannara 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grosseto Cannara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grosseto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grosseto scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Cannara has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Grosseto remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grosseto VS Cannara
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Grosseto

(Home)
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4
Grosseto
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
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Cannara

(Away)
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0
Cannara
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2
Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Cannara
1 : 1
Scandicci
12 Apr
Tau
1 : 0
Cannara
02 Apr
Cannara
1 : 0
San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)