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Grosseto vs Cannara

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E Stadio Carlo Zecchini, Grosseto
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Sabelli P.
41' Event
Marzierli E.
70' Event
Sacchini S.

AI Match Summary

Grosseto in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grosseto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Grosseto
20%
Draws
38%
Cannara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Grosseto have won more games recently than Cannara.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Grosseto taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Grosseto have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 20%
Cannara Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grosseto Cannara
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Cannara
6:0
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Cannara vs Grosseto
2:3
Mar 8, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Cannara vs Grosseto
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Cannara
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grosseto Compare

Top Goalscorer Sacchini S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sabelli P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Cannara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosseto 42 / 100
Cannara 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grosseto Cannara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grosseto scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Cannara has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Grosseto remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grosseto VS Cannara
1.25 Goals Scored 0.83
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.83
75% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Grosseto

(Home)
02 Aug
Perugia
1 : 1
Grosseto
29 Jul
Grosseto
1 : 2
San Donato Tavarnelle
17 May
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 1
Grosseto
13 May
Grosseto
2 : 3
Ostiamare
02 May
Ghiviborgo
0 : 3
Grosseto
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Cannara

(Away)
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0
Cannara
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2
Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Cannara
1 : 1
Scandicci
12 Apr
Tau
1 : 0
Cannara
02 Apr
Cannara
1 : 0
San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)