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Grosseto vs Fezzanese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 Stadio Carlo Zecchini, Grosseto
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Marzierli E.
65'
Salvetti G.
73' Event
Riccobono G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 game between Grosseto and Fezzanese finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grosseto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Grosseto
35%
Draws
32%
Fezzanese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Grosseto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Fezzanese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 22%
Fezzanese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grosseto Fezzanese
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 20 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.69 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Fezzanese
2:0
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Fezzanese vs Grosseto
1:2
Jan 8, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Fezzanese vs Grosseto
1:1
Sep 4, 2016 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Fezzanese
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grosseto Compare

Top Goalscorer Marzierli E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Riccobono G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Fezzanese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosseto 24 / 100
Fezzanese 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grosseto Fezzanese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fezzanese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grosseto scored in 86% of their last 36 outings.

Fezzanese let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Grosseto remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grosseto VS Fezzanese
1.5 Goals Scored 1.2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.2
75% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Grosseto

(Home)
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
06 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Sassari Torres
29 Aug
Ostiamare
1 : 2
Grosseto
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Fezzanese

(Away)
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1
Fezzanese
04 May
Fezzanese
3 : 3
Ghiviborgo
27 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 0
Fezzanese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livorno 34 21 9 4 74:44 72
2 Fulgens Foligno 34 17 9 8 61:44 60
3 Seravezza Pozzi 34 16 11 7 53:39 59
4 Ghiviborgo 34 17 4 13 65:57 55
5 Orvietana 34 15 8 11 44:41 53
6 Siena 34 14 10 10 35:32 52
7 Grosseto 34 13 11 10 39:34 50
8 Ostiamare 34 12 9 13 49:53 45
9 Poggibonsi 34 12 7 15 32:36 43
10 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 10 13 26:26 43
11 Montevarchi 34 9 14 11 36:39 41
12 Flaminia 34 10 10 14 42:43 40
13 Follonica Gavorrano 34 10 10 14 40:45 40
14 Terranuova Traiana 34 8 15 11 34:47 39
15 Figline 34 9 11 14 29:33 38
16 Sporting Trestina 34 9 11 14 35:45 38
17 Sangiovannese 34 9 9 16 30:38 36
18 Fezzanese 34 6 8 20 35:63 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)