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Grosseto vs Latina

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Carlo Zecchini, Grosseto
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Sylla Y.
38' Event
Sylla Y.
48' Event
Riccardi A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Grosseto
30%
Draws
33%
Latina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grosseto come out ahead of Latina on wins alone.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Grosseto have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Latina, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 19%
Latina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grosseto Latina
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Grosseto vs Latina
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grosseto Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaddini M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Latina Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Riccardi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosseto 36 / 100
Latina 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grosseto Latina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Latina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grosseto found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Latina has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Grosseto stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grosseto VS Latina
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grosseto

(Home)
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
06 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Sassari Torres
29 Aug
Ostiamare
1 : 2
Grosseto
Page 1 of 6

Latina

(Away)
16 Sept
Latina
1 : 1
Guidonia 1937
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1
Latina
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
05 Sept
Latina
2 : 0
Forli FC
29 Aug
Ravenna
3 : 1
Latina
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -