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Grosseto vs Reggiana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Carlo Zecchini, Grosseto
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grosseto host Reggiana in the Serie C - Group B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Grosseto have averaged 1.61 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Reggiana's 0.93 scored and 1.31 conceded. Head-to-head, Grosseto have won 0 to Reggiana's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2022, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.44, favoring Grosseto. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Grosseto
15%
Draws
32%
Reggiana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Grosseto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Grosseto a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 16%
Reggiana Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grosseto Reggiana
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.61 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Reggiana vs Grosseto
3:1
Oct 16, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Grosseto vs Reggiana
0:0
Jan 24, 2015 Serie C - Group B
Reggiana vs Grosseto
1:0
Sep 13, 2014 Serie C - Group B
Grosseto vs Reggiana
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosseto 75 / 100
Reggiana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grosseto Reggiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grosseto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grosseto scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Reggiana conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Grosseto remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Reggiana has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grosseto VS Reggiana
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grosseto

(Home)
16 Oct
Livorno
4 : 4
Grosseto
10 Oct
Vis Pesaro
2 : 3
Grosseto
03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3
Sambenedettese
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4
Grosseto
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
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Reggiana

(Away)
20 Oct
Pineto
2 : 0
Reggiana
17 Oct
Reggiana
2 : 0
Sassari Torres
04 Oct
Reggiana
0 : 1
Spezia
27 Sept
Perugia
1 : 0
Reggiana
20 Sept
Reggiana
1 : 0
Latina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 10 9 1 0 18:4 28
2 Ravenna 10 6 2 2 16:6 20
3 Grosseto 10 5 4 1 21:13 19
4 Reggiana 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
5 Guidonia 1937 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
6 Livorno 10 4 4 2 15:14 16
7 Perugia 10 5 1 4 14:15 16
8 Pescara 10 4 3 3 13:12 15
9 Sassari Torres 10 4 3 3 11:12 15
10 Latina 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
11 Vado 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
12 Atalanta U23 9 4 0 5 10:13 12
13 Campobasso 10 3 3 4 14:19 12
14 Forli FC 10 2 5 3 16:16 11
15 Pineto 10 2 5 3 8:11 11
16 Ostiamare 10 2 3 5 9:12 9
17 Pianese 10 1 5 4 6:10 8
18 Sambenedettese 10 1 4 5 14:17 7
19 Gubbio 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
20 Vis Pesaro 9 1 1 7 10:20 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)