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Grosseto vs San Donato Tavarnelle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Sabattini L.
47' Event
73' Event

AI Match Summary

San Donato Tavarnelle in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Donato Tavarnelle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Grosseto
30%
Draws
23%
San Donato Tavarnelle
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Grosseto have won more games recently than San Donato Tavarnelle.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Grosseto taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 20%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grosseto San Donato Tavarnelle
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.59 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Grosseto vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs San Donato Tavarnelle
0:2
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Grosseto
0:1
Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Grosseto vs San Donato Tavarnelle
2:1
Apr 8, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs San Donato Tavarnelle
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grosseto Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabattini L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

San Donato Tavarnelle Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosseto 85 / 100
San Donato Tavarnelle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grosseto San Donato Tavarnelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grosseto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grosseto found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

San Donato Tavarnelle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Grosseto has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grosseto VS San Donato Tavarnelle
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Grosseto

(Home)
10 Oct
Vis Pesaro
2 : 3
Grosseto
03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3
Sambenedettese
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4
Grosseto
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
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San Donato Tavarnelle

(Away)
04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1
Mezzolara
27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2
Follonica Gavorrano
16 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3
San Donato Tavarnelle
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