Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
Cazzadori D.
44'
44'
Cardinali A.
Assist: Cancellieri D.
45'
45'
Candelari P.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group B game between Grosseto and Spezia finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spezia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Spezia haven't matched Grosseto's recent run of results.
- Model gives Spezia a 52% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 11%
Spezia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grosseto | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Grosseto vs Spezia
1:1
Apr 6, 2013 Serie B
Spezia vs Grosseto
2:1
Nov 9, 2012 Serie B
Grosseto vs Spezia
1:1
Jun 1, 2008 Serie B
Spezia vs Grosseto
2:2
Jan 19, 2008 Serie B
Grosseto vs Spezia
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grosseto Compare
Top Goalscorer Fiorini P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Spezia Compare
Top Goalscorer Cardinali A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grosseto 10 / 100
Spezia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grosseto Spezia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spezia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Grosseto scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Spezia has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Grosseto remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Grosseto VS Spezia
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Grosseto
(Home) 20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2 Campobasso
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0 Grosseto
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4 Latina
06 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Sassari Torres
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2 Campobasso
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4 Latina
06 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Sassari Torres
23 Aug
Grosseto
1 : 1 Spezia
Page 1 of 4
Spezia
(Away) 21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1 Vis Pesaro
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3 Spezia
12 Sept
Spezia
2 : 0 Livorno
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Spezia
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0 Vado
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3 Spezia
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Spezia
23 Aug
Grosseto
1 : 1 Spezia
01 Aug
Empoli
1 : 1 Spezia
08 May
Pescara
1 : 1 Spezia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 14 |
| 3 | Reggiana | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 14 |
| 4 | Grosseto | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 5 | Livorno | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Sassari Torres | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Guidonia 1937 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 8 | Forli FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Atalanta U23 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 10 | Campobasso | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Pescara | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 12 | Pineto | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 13 | Gubbio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 7 |
| 14 | Perugia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 15 | Ostiamare | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 16 | Latina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 17 | Vado | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 18 | Pianese | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 19 | Sambenedettese | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 2 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 1 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
