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Grosuplje vs Aluminij - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grosuplje host Aluminij in the Prva liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Grosuplje have averaged 1.7 scored and 1.67 conceded recently, against Aluminij's 0.88 scored and 1.27 conceded. Head-to-head, Grosuplje have won 1 to Aluminij's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 21, 2026, ending 4:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.88, favoring Grosuplje. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Grosuplje
30%
Draws
35%
Aluminij
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Grosuplje carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aluminij a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aluminij have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Grosuplje Clean Sheet 10%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grosuplje Aluminij
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 11 5
Draws 3 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.7 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Grosuplje
4:2
May 13, 2026 Slovenian Cup
Grosuplje vs Aluminij
0:1
May 12, 2025 2. SNL
Aluminij vs Grosuplje
4:2
Nov 3, 2024 2. SNL
Grosuplje vs Aluminij
1:0
Mar 11, 2023 2. SNL
Grosuplje vs Aluminij
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosuplje 26 / 100
Aluminij 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grosuplje Aluminij

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aluminij Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Grosuplje found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Aluminij let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Grosuplje has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grosuplje VS Aluminij
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Grosuplje

(Home)
11 Oct
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Maribor
20 Sept
Grosuplje
2 : 1
Radomlje
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
05 Sept
O. Ljubljana
3 : 0
Grosuplje
30 Aug
Grosuplje
4 : 1
Celje
Page 1 of 6

Aluminij

(Away)
10 Oct
Celje
1 : 0
Aluminij
02 Oct
Aluminij
0 : 0
Varazdin
19 Sept
Maribor
2 : 2
Aluminij
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6
Aluminij
05 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 0
Bravo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 11 6 5 0 21:9 23
2 Koper 11 5 4 2 14:11 19
3 Bravo 11 5 3 3 12:11 18
4 Nafta 11 5 1 5 18:16 16
5 Celje 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
6 O. Ljubljana 11 4 3 4 13:11 15
7 Aluminij 11 3 4 4 16:12 13
8 Grosuplje 11 3 2 6 15:20 11
9 Mura 11 2 4 5 13:24 10
10 Radomlje 10 1 3 6 12:21 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)