Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grosuplje vs Jesenice

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Jovicevic N.
4' Event
Zrnec N.
7' Event
Zrnec N.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Grosuplje and Jesenice finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grosuplje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Grosuplje
15%
Draws
57%
Jesenice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jesenice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Jesenice haven't matched Grosuplje's recent run of results.
  • Jesenice are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Grosuplje have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Grosuplje Clean Sheet 15%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grosuplje Jesenice
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.78 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 2. SNL
Grosuplje vs Jesenice
8:1
Oct 11, 2025 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Grosuplje
2:4
Apr 2, 2016 3. SNL - Centre
Grosuplje vs Jesenice
2:0
Sep 12, 2015 3. SNL - Centre
Jesenice vs Grosuplje
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grosuplje Compare

Top Goalscorer Jovicevic N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zrnec N.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Jesenice Compare

Top Goalscorer Dakic K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosuplje 11 / 100
Jesenice 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grosuplje Jesenice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jesenice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jesenice conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Grosuplje scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Grosuplje went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grosuplje VS Jesenice
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grosuplje

(Home)
20 Sept
Grosuplje
2 : 1
Radomlje
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
05 Sept
O. Ljubljana
3 : 0
Grosuplje
30 Aug
Grosuplje
4 : 1
Celje
21 Aug
Aluminij
4 : 2
Grosuplje
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Jesenice

(Away)
20 Sept
Bilje
0 : 2
Jesenice
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
29 Aug
Jesenice
3 : 1
Beltinci
21 Aug
Jadran Dekani
0 : 2
Jesenice
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)