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Grota do Facao U20 vs Desportiva Alianca U20

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grota do Facao U20 play Desportiva Alianca U20 in the Alagoano U20 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Grota do Facao U20 averaged 1.07 goals scored and 4.43 conceded. Desportiva Alianca U20 averaged 1.65 goals scored and 2.22 conceded. In past meetings, Grota do Facao U20 won 1, Desportiva Alianca U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 25, 2025 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.41 for Grota do Facao U20 and 4.00 for Desportiva Alianca U20. This points to a Desportiva Alianca U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Grota do Facao U20
15%
Draws
49%
Desportiva Alianca U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Desportiva Alianca U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Grota do Facao U20 picked up more points recently compared to Desportiva Alianca U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.41 vs 4.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Grota do Facao U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Desportiva Alianca U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grota do Facao U20 Desportiva Alianca U20
Matches Played 14 23
Wins 4 8
Draws 0 3
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.65
Goals Conceded 4.43 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.43 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.57 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 Alagoano U20
Grota do Facao U20 vs Desportiva Alianca U20
0:5
Jul 7, 2024 Alagoano U20
Grota do Facao U20 vs Desportiva Alianca U20
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grota do Facao U20 34 / 100
Desportiva Alianca U20 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grota do Facao U20 Desportiva Alianca U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Desportiva Alianca U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Grota do Facao U20 attacking → ← attacking Desportiva Alianca U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grota do Facao U20 scored in 50% of their last 14 games.

Desportiva Alianca U20 let in goals in 78% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Grota do Facao U20 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Desportiva Alianca U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 27
0.43 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
6.57 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CSA U20761030:519
2CRB U20751127:616
3Zumbi U20750217:415
4Desportiva Alianca U20731314:1710
5Guarany Alagoano U20722314:188
6Canoense U20721412:147
7SC Penedense U2071246:135
8Grota do Facao U2070073:460
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20632113:411
2ASA U20632113:611
3Guarani de Paripueira U20632110:411
4Jacioba U20624013:310
5Independente Atalaia U20621310:47
6Coruripe U2062135:117
7Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense U2000000:00
8Liga do Sertao U2060062:340