Sport Picks

Brazil

Alagoano U20 2024

Desportiva Alianca U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Grota do Facao U20 play Desportiva Alianca U20 in the Alagoano U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Grota do Facao U20 averaged 1.07 goals scored and 4.43 conceded. Desportiva Alianca U20 averaged 1.65 goals scored and 2.22 conceded. In past meetings, Grota do Facao U20 won 1, Desportiva Alianca U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 25, 2025 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.41 for Grota do Facao U20 and 4.00 for Desportiva Alianca U20. This points to a Desportiva Alianca U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Grota do Facao U20

15%

Draws

49%

Desportiva Alianca U20

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Desportiva Alianca U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Grota do Facao U20 picked up more points recently compared to Desportiva Alianca U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.41 vs 4.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 47%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Grota do Facao U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Desportiva Alianca U20 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Grota do Facao U20	Desportiva Alianca U20
Matches Played	14	23
Wins	4	8
Draws	0	3
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	1.07	1.65
Goals Conceded	4.43	2.22
Expected Goals (xG)	0.43	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	6.57	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 Alagoano U20

Grota do Facao U20 vs Desportiva Alianca U20

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 1 - 0

0:5

Jul 7, 2024 Alagoano U20

Grota do Facao U20 vs Desportiva Alianca U20

Possession: 51% - 60% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grota do Facao U20 34 / 100

Desportiva Alianca U20 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Grota do Facao U20 Desportiva Alianca U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Desportiva Alianca U20 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.37

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Grota do Facao U20 attacking → ← attacking Desportiva Alianca U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grota do Facao U20 scored in 50% of their last 14 games.

Desportiva Alianca U20 let in goals in 78% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Grota do Facao U20 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Desportiva Alianca U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 27

0.43 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

6.57 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CSA U20	6	6	0	0	16:2	18
2	Guarani de Paripueira U20	6	4	0	2	20:11	12
3	Desportiva Alianca U20	6	4	0	2	14:7	12
4	Grota do Facao U20	6	4	0	2	12:5	12
5	Rio Largo U20	6	1	1	4	8:7	4
6	Ubertec U20	6	1	1	4	7:20	4
7	Satuba U20	6	0	0	6	3:28	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CRB U20	6	6	0	0	32:3	18
2	Coruripe U20	6	4	1	1	16:4	13
3	Guarany Alagoano U20	6	3	1	2	8:8	10
4	Sao Domingos U20	6	2	1	3	7:16	7
5	UNEC U20	6	2	1	3	8:19	7
6	Santa Cruz AL U20	6	1	0	5	6:12	3
7	Ponte Preta AL U20	6	0	2	4	1:16	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zumbi U20	4	3	1	0	17:0	10
2	Azzurra U20	4	3	1	0	13:2	10
3	Independente Atalaia U20	4	2	0	2	5:11	6
4	Murici U20	4	1	0	3	6:15	3
5	DZM Passo U20	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Lajense U20	4	0	0	4	3:16	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Liga do Sertao U20	6	4	1	1	11:4	13
2	SC Penedense U20	6	3	3	0	9:5	12
3	Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20	6	2	4	0	8:5	10
4	ASA U20	6	2	2	2	7:6	8
5	Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20	6	2	2	2	6:7	8
6	Dimensao Capela U20	6	1	1	4	3:6	4
7	CAP Paulo Jacinto U20	6	0	1	5	3:14	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jacioba U20	6	5	1	0	17:5	16
2	Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense U20	6	5	0	1	17:5	15
3	Canoense U20	6	3	1	2	6:8	10
4	Gaviao Izidorense U20	6	2	1	3	6:10	7
5	Flamengo do Ipiranga U20	6	2	0	4	9:14	6
6	Talisma U20	6	1	1	4	9:13	4
7	Sao Sebastiao U20	6	1	0	5	4:13	3