Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grotta vs Aegir

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Vivaldivöllurinn, Seltjarnarnes
Grotta Logo

Grotta

6 - 1
FT
Aegir Logo

Aegir

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Nokkvason N.
14' Event
Kjeld M.
32' Event
Kjeld M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Grotta in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grotta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Grotta
6%
Draws
4%
Aegir
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Grotta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Grotta have won more games recently than Aegir.
  • Grotta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Grotta Clean Sheet 14%
Aegir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grotta Aegir
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 1 2
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 2.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Division 1
Grotta vs Aegir
6:1
May 9, 2026 Division 1
Aegir vs Grotta
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Division 2
Aegir vs Grotta
1:3
Jun 14, 2025 Division 2
Grotta vs Aegir
3:3
Aug 21, 2023 Division 1
Aegir vs Grotta
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grotta Compare

Top Goalscorer Kjeld M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nokkvason N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Aegir Compare

Top Goalscorer Thrastarson D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grotta 84 / 100
Aegir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grotta Aegir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grotta scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Aegir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Aegir lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grotta VS Aegir
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Grotta

(Home)
03 Aug
Vestri
0 : 3
Grotta
18 Jul
Grotta
6 : 1
Aegir
14 Jul
Grotta
1 : 2
Grindavik
10 Jul
Leiknir Reykjavik
0 : 1
Grotta
03 Jul
Grotta
2 : 1
Kopavogur
Page 1 of 6

Aegir

(Away)
28 Jul
Aegir
0 : 1
Njardvik
18 Jul
Grotta
6 : 1
Aegir
10 Jul
Aegir
3 : 4
Kopavogur
03 Jul
Aegir
2 : 4
Fylkir
29 Jun
Afturelding
8 : 1
Aegir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Throttur 16 10 3 3 36:16 33
2 Fylkir 16 11 0 5 35:23 33
3 Afturelding 15 10 1 4 44:25 31
4 Kopavogur 16 9 1 6 38:29 28
5 Njardvik 16 8 2 6 24:21 26
6 Grotta 15 8 1 6 32:28 25
7 Vestri 16 6 3 7 26:34 21
8 Leiknir Reykjavik 16 5 4 7 20:25 19
9 Grindavik 16 3 8 5 16:20 17
10 IR Reykjavik 16 4 4 8 27:36 16
11 Volsungur 16 2 5 9 20:37 11
12 Aegir 16 2 2 12 19:43 8
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)