Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grotta vs Kordrengir

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 2023 Vivaldivöllurinn
Grotta Logo

Grotta

Thu, Jun 15, 2023
VS
07:15 PM
Kordrengir Logo

Kordrengir

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Grotta play Kordrengir in the Division 1 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Grotta averaged 2.18 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Kordrengir averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Grotta won 1, Kordrengir won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Aug 21, 2023 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Grotta and 1.13 for Kordrengir. This points to a Kordrengir double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Grotta
15%
Draws
44%
Kordrengir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kordrengir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Grotta picked up more points recently compared to Kordrengir.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Grotta Clean Sheet 21%
Kordrengir Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grotta Kordrengir
Matches Played 28 5
Wins 15 3
Draws 1 0
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 2.18 2
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2023 Division 1
Kordrengir vs Grotta
0:0
Jun 15, 2023 Division 1
Grotta vs Kordrengir
0:0
Sep 2, 2022 Division 1
Grotta vs Kordrengir
1:3
Jul 1, 2022 Division 1
Kordrengir vs Grotta
1:0
Aug 19, 2021 Division 1
Grotta vs Kordrengir
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grotta 41 / 100
Kordrengir 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grotta Kordrengir

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kordrengir or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Grotta attacking → ← attacking Kordrengir

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grotta scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Kordrengir let in goals in 60% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Grotta went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kordrengir lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 9
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Akranes22154354:3149
2Afturelding22134560:3343
3Fjolnir22126455:3242
4Vestri22116537:2639
5Leiknir Reykjavik22112947:3735
6Grindavik22841027:3828
7Thor Akureyri22831127:3927
8Throttur22751045:4626
9Grotta2268834:3726
10Njardvik22651136:4723
11Selfoss22721337:4923
12Aegir22231723:679